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Knights Title Chances 2018-2019CIDL-Novice
Beat Ice Dragons 5-1, title odds up 5.5 to 6.6%
13 points 5-0 2 3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Vicious Squirrels 3 Wild Goose 5 | +1.2 | |||
| Knights 5 Ice Dragons 1 | +0.6 | +0.2 | ||
| Bandits 5 Voodoo 4 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bandits vs Vicious Squirrels | +3.5+1.1-1.8 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Knights vs Voodoo | +1.0-1.9-3.5 | +0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Wild Goose vs Ice Dragons | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Knights finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | T | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||||
| 37 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | Yes | 100 | 34,927 | ||||||||||
| 36 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99.1 | % | 99 | 1 | 43,333 | ||||||||
| 35 | 11 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 91.5 | 91 | 9 | 197,663 | * | ||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 77.9 | 78 | 22 | 440,440 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 10 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 55.9 | 56 | 44 | 568,576 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 59.3 | 59 | 41 | 531,349 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 37.3 | 37 | 63 | 0 | 1,461,401 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 39.8 | 40 | 60 | 0 | 402,028 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21.4 | 21 | 78 | 0 | 1,681,362 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20.9 | 21 | 79 | 0 | 1,401,594 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23.6 | 24 | 76 | 0 | 203,916 | * | ||||||||
| 30 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10.1 | 10 | 89 | 1 | 3,179,780 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10.5 | 10 | 89 | 1 | 1,134,227 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | 88 | 1 | 71,139 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3.8 | 4 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 3,184,884 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.1 | 4 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 2,223,556 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 515,106 | * | |||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 4,395,787 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 1,843,727 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1.2 | 1 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 152,532 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 75 | 24 | 1 | 3,769,234 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 0 | 2,381,959 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.2 | 0 | 76 | 23 | 1 | 711,456 | * | |||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 58 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 4,032,685 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 57 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1,829,767 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 58 | 39 | 3 | 170,806 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 36 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 2,905,633 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 40 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 1,765,998 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 35 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 578,958 | * | ||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | No | 18 | 58 | 23 | 0 | 2,506,333 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 3 | No | 16 | 58 | 25 | 0 | 1,153,340 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 5 | No | 17 | 58 | 25 | 0 | 107,979 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | No | 5 | 47 | 46 | 2 | 1,473,068 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | No | 7 | 51 | 40 | 1 | 910,769 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 4 | No | 5 | 46 | 47 | 2 | 285,978 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 0 | 7 | 1 | No | 1 | 29 | 62 | 8 | 1,057,898 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 6 | 3 | No | 1 | 25 | 64 | 10 | 498,930 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 0 | 7 | 2 | No | 0 | 11 | 66 | 24 | 486,727 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 8 | 0 | No | 0 | 14 | 67 | 19 | 324,345 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 4 | No | 0 | 9 | 65 | 26 | 83,106 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | 8 | 1 | No | 0 | 3 | 56 | 41 | 0 | 294,761 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 7 | 3 | No | 0 | 2 | 52 | 45 | 118,697 | * | |||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 2 | No | 1 | 36 | 63 | 0 | 99,548 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 9 | 0 | No | 1 | 41 | 59 | 0 | 90,282 | * | |||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | 9 | 1 | No | 0 | 22 | 78 | 0 | 67,174 | * | ||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 0 | 10 | 0 | No | 0 | 11 | 88 | 1 | 23,897 | * | ||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | 1 | No | 4 | 93 | 3 | 6,062 | * | |||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 0 | 11 | 0 | No | 2 | 90 | 8 | 1,565 | * | |||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | 1 | No | 83 | 17 | 201 | |||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | 0 | No | 0 | 74 | 26 | 21,357 | ||||||||
| Total: | 6.6 | % | 7 | 60 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 51,425,840 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
