"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday, 1/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Edmonton 6 St. John's 2 -16.6
-1.9
Toronto 2 Winnipeg 1 +3.6
+0.2
Quebec 3 Calgary 19 +3.5
-0.1
London 1 Regina 10 +2.9
+0.2
Yukon 4 Montreal 1 -1.3
-0.2
Hamilton 1 Saskatoon 2 -0.7
+0.2
Nova Scotia 5 Vancouver 3 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thunder Bay vs Ottawa+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday, 1/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nova Scotia vs St. John's-1.7+1.7
Winnipeg vs Saskatoon-0.3+0.3
Ottawa vs London+0.3-0.3
Hamilton vs Toronto-0.3+0.3
Yukon vs Calgary-0.1+0.1
Quebec vs Montreal-0.1+0.1
Regina vs Thunder Bay-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the St. John's finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
81-0Out1144130952,085,972
70-1Out52245282,084,764
Total:Out07211571323144,170,736
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs