How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 1/25 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Vasco da Gama 0 Atletico-MG 0 -0.3 +0.6 -0.2 Santos 0 Goias 0 +0.1 -0.1 Fluminense 0 Botafogo 0 +0.1 -0.2 +0.0 Ceara 0 Palmeiras 0 -0.2 +0.0 Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 -0.2 +0.0 Atletico-GO 0 Fortaleza 0 -0.3 +0.1 Sport Recife 0 Bahia 0 -0.2 +0.1 Sao Paulo 0 Coritiba 0 -0.2 Corinthians 0 Bragantino 0 -0.3 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 2/1 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Vasco da Gama vs Bahia +0.6-0.3-0.4 -13.2+2.6+11.8 +1.4-0.4-1.2 Palmeiras vs Botafogo -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.8-0.2+1.7 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Coritiba vs Gremio +0.1+0.0-0.1 +2.0-0.4-1.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Fluminense vs Goias -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.2-0.1+0.5 Internacional vs Bragantino -0.1+0.0+0.1 -1.0*-0.0+1.6 +0.1+0.0-0.2 Santos vs Corinthians -0.1+0.0+0.1 -1.0-0.1+1.4 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Ceara vs Athletico-PR +1.1-0.3-0.9 -0.0+0.1+0.0 Atletico-GO vs Sao Paulo +2.3*+0.0-1.4 -0.2+0.0+0.1 Sport Recife vs Flamengo +1.5+0.2-0.6 -0.2-0.0+0.1 Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza -0.3+0.1+0.5 +0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 55 7 - 0 - 0 No 96.0 % 0 7 34 38 17 4 0 0 No 11,319 53 6 - 1 - 0 No 64.3 0 6 23 36 26 9 1 0 No 47,621 52 6 - 0 - 1 No 39.0 0 1 10 28 36 21 4 0 No 88,751 51 5 - 2 - 0 No 16.4 0 0 3 14 33 35 14 1 0 No 109,326 50 5 - 1 - 1 No 4.7 0 0 4 20 40 31 5 0 0 No 406,057 49 5 - 0 - 2 No 0.8 0 0 1 7 30 44 16 2 0 0 No 369,532 4 - 3 - 0 No 0.5 0 1 6 27 46 18 2 0 0 No 140,054 48 4 - 2 - 1 No 0.1 0 0 1 13 43 32 9 1 0 0 No 766,099 47 4 - 1 - 2 No 0.0 0 0 3 25 40 24 7 1 0 0 No 1,381,156 3 - 4 - 0 No No 0 2 22 40 26 8 1 0 0 No 105,115 46 4 - 0 - 3 No No 0 0 10 30 35 19 5 1 0 0 No 823,351 3 - 3 - 1 No No 0 0 8 27 35 21 7 1 0 0 0 0.0 % 757,629 45 3 - 2 - 2 No No 0 2 12 28 32 19 6 1 0 0 0.0 2,035,899 2 - 5 - 0 No No 0 1 10 27 33 21 7 1 0 0 0.0 46,786 44 3 - 1 - 3 No No 0 0 3 13 28 31 18 5 1 0 0 0.0 2,404,499 2 - 4 - 1 No No 0 0 2 10 26 32 21 7 1 0 0 0.1 418,289 43 2 - 3 - 2 No No 0 0 2 11 26 32 21 7 1 0 0.8 1,479,922 3 - 0 - 4 No No 0 0 3 14 29 31 17 4 0 0 0.5 1,055,309 1 - 6 - 0 No No 0 2 9 24 33 23 8 1 0 1.3 11,627 42 2 - 2 - 3 No No 0 0 0 2 11 27 34 20 5 0 0 5.1 2,603,381 1 - 5 - 1 No No 0 0 1 8 24 35 24 7 0 0 7.3 121,374 41 2 - 1 - 4 No No 0 0 0 3 13 31 35 16 2 0 0 17.9 2,274,481 1 - 4 - 2 No No 0 0 0 2 10 28 37 20 3 0 22.7 533,071 0 - 7 - 0 No No 1 7 25 39 23 4 0 27.1 1,172 40 1 - 3 - 3 No No 0 0 2 13 36 38 10 1 0 48.7 1,240,881 2 - 0 - 5 No No 0 0 0 3 17 38 33 8 1 0 41.1 788,708 0 - 6 - 1 No No 0 1 9 32 43 13 1 57.4 14,562 39 1 - 2 - 4 No No 0 0 0 4 21 47 24 4 0 75.0 1,612,212 0 - 5 - 2 No No 0 0 2 17 47 28 5 0 80.2 76,396 38 1 - 1 - 5 No No 0 1 9 41 38 11 1 90.9 1,110,301 0 - 4 - 3 No No 0 0 6 39 41 12 1 93.2 219,950 37 0 - 3 - 4 No No 0 1 24 47 26 2 98.6 376,812 1 - 0 - 6 No No 0 0 2 28 46 22 2 97.7 316,363 36 0 - 2 - 5 No No 0 0 11 40 41 8 99.8 388,105 35 0 - 1 - 6 No No 0 4 28 50 18 100.0 219,353 34 0 - 0 - 7 No No 1 16 52 31 Yes 55,897 Total: No 0.5 % 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 7 8 9 10 11 12 12 12 7 3 0 22.3 % 24,411,360
Points
Chance Will Win Championship