How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/14 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Bahia 0 Goias 0 -2.5 +0.1 Internacional 0 Sport Recife 0 -1.1 -0.0 Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 -0.7 +0.1 Botafogo 0 Gremio 0 -0.3 +0.0 Fortaleza 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.3 +0.0 Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 0 -0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Sport Recife vs Bragantino -22.2+3.6+20.2 +1.1-0.3-0.9 Vasco da Gama vs Internacional +7.7+1.1-4.9 -0.2-0.0+0.1 Atletico-MG vs Bahia -4.1+0.8+8.1 +0.1-0.0-0.3 Palmeiras vs Fortaleza -1.0+0.6+1.2 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Goias vs Botafogo +0.2-0.9+0.4 Santos vs Coritiba -0.2-0.1+0.4 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 2/22 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Athletico-PR vs Sport Recife +15.1+1.2-20.6 -0.7-0.2+1.1 Sport Recife vs Atletico-MG -21.3-1.3+11.9 +1.1-0.1-0.6 Vasco da Gama vs Goias +6.3-2.1-7.0 -0.2+0.1+0.2 Bahia vs Santos +7.8-0.3-5.5 -0.2+0.0+0.2 Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama -5.2+0.8+7.6 +0.2-0.0-0.2 Fortaleza vs Bahia -5.2+0.2+6.1 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Botafogo vs Sao Paulo +2.1-0.2-0.6 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Fluminense vs Fortaleza -1.2+0.6+1.2 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Bragantino vs Gremio +1.4*-0.0-0.9 -0.2+0.0+0.1 Ceara vs Botafogo -0.7-0.4+1.4 Goias vs Bragantino -0.3-0.9+0.7 +0.1+0.1-0.1 Atletico-GO vs Coritiba -0.2-0.1+0.4 Coritiba vs Ceara +0.4-0.2-0.1 Gremio vs Athletico-PR +0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 45 3 - 0 - 0 No No 4 30 53 13 1 No 871,013 43 2 - 1 - 0 No No 0 2 27 45 23 3 0 0 0.0 % 1,986,650 42 2 - 0 - 1 No No 6 31 44 17 2 0 0.1 3,628,122 41 1 - 2 - 0 No No 7 35 41 15 2 1.7 1,501,590 40 1 - 1 - 1 No No 2 18 45 29 6 5.6 5,424,379 39 1 - 0 - 2 No No 0 4 27 46 22 0 22.9 4,871,166 0 - 3 - 0 No No 2 21 46 30 1 30.7 373,023 38 0 - 2 - 1 No No 7 38 51 4 0 54.5 2,006,280 37 0 - 1 - 2 No No 3 27 62 8 0 70.4 3,569,455 36 0 - 0 - 3 No No 0 7 65 27 1 0 92.9 2,109,282 Total: No No 0 1 5 9 14 21 23 23 4 0 0 27.1 % 26,340,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship