Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Title Chances 2021 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.03 to 0.1% 22 points 5-7-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | -0.1 | | -4.2 | | +6.4 | | -1.0 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | | | | | +0.8 | | -0.1 | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | | | -0.1 | | +0.3 | | -0.1 | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | | | +0.2 | | +0.5 | | | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +0.1 | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense vs Sao Paulo | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | -3.2-1.4+4.0 | | +8.0+1.5-9.0 | | -1.0-0.3+1.2 | | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | | | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.6-0.4-0.4 | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | | | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | | | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.6-0.3-0.4 | | | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | | | | Santos vs Bahia | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.3*-0.0 | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | *-0.1-0.2+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 79 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.9 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 438 | | 75 | -77 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 87.5 | | Yes | 88 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8 | | 73 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 69.2 | | Yes | 69 | 31 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 87.8 | | Yes | 88 | 10 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41 | | 71 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 73.4 | | Yes | 73 | 27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 79 | * | 70 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 64.6 | | Yes | 65 | 31 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 195 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 54.6 | | Yes | 55 | 40 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 355 | * | 68 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 45.7 | | Yes | 46 | 42 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 704 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 33.1 | | Yes | 33 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,177 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 25.9 | | Yes | 26 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,184 | * | 65 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 15.1 | | Yes | 15 | 41 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,756 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 8.5 | | Yes | 9 | 33 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,078 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 4.2 | | 100.0 | % | 4 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,712 | * | 62 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 2.1 | | 99.9 | | 2 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,607 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.7 | | 99.2 | | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,878 | * | 60 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 96.8 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,324 | * | 59 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 90.7 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,492 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 77.8 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,455 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 57.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,322 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 34.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 97,804 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 15.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 121,286 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 4.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 145,899 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 1.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 169,553 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 192,167 | * | 51 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 212,802 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 227,501 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.3 | | 237,931 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.6 | | 241,092 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 6.2 | | 236,852 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17.5 | | 227,142 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35.8 | | 211,227 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 57.1 | | 190,542 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 75.4 | | 166,268 | * | 42 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 2 | 88.2 | | 141,432 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 30 | 5 | 95.2 | | 115,910 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 40 | 9 | 98.3 | | 92,413 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 48 | 17 | 99.5 | | 70,572 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 25 | 99.9 | | 52,218 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 34 | 100.0 | | 37,536 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 44 | 100.0 | | 25,634 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 41 | 55 | Yes | 16,916 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 34 | 64 | Yes | 10,797 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 27 | 72 | Yes | 6,284 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 78 | Yes | 3,733 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 84 | Yes | 1,979 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | Yes | 991 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | 470 | * | 28 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | Yes | 168 | * | 27 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 94 | * | 26 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 31 | * | 25 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 88 | Yes | 8 | | 23 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 5 | * | 22 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 438 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 8.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26.1 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |