Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Title Chances 2021Did not play, title odds down 0.001 to 0.01% 22 points 5-7-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | -2.5 | | +6.0 | | -0.9 | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | -0.2 | | +0.3 | | -0.1 | | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | +0.2 | | +0.5 | | -0.1 | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | | | +0.3 | | -0.1 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | | | +1.1 | | -0.1 | | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | | | -0.7 | | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense vs Sao Paulo | -1.3-0.7+1.7 | | +8.4+1.5-8.9 | | -0.8-0.2+0.9 | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | -0.2*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Gremio vs Ceara | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +1.3-0.2-0.8 | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.7-0.3-0.3 | | | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +1.0-0.2-0.7 | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Santos vs Bahia | *+0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.4-0.3-0.2 | | | | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 79 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 89.6 | % | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,194 | | 76 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 75 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 66.7 | | Yes | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | | 74 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 75.0 | | Yes | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4 | | 73 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 50.0 | | Yes | 50 | 38 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 27.8 | | Yes | 28 | 61 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18 | | 71 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 24.5 | | Yes | 24 | 49 | 16 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49 | * | 70 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 13.4 | | Yes | 13 | 39 | 41 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 10.0 | | Yes | 10 | 32 | 42 | 14 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 260 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 3.8 | | Yes | 4 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 524 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1.2 | | Yes | 1 | 19 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 962 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.7 | | Yes | 1 | 10 | 36 | 38 | 14 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,855 | * | 65 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | 99.9 | % | 0 | 5 | 26 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,366 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 99.7 | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,843 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 98.6 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,792 | * | 62 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 96.1 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 43 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,301 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 91.2 | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,560 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 81.8 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,796 | * | 59 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 68.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,774 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 50.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 83,647 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 32.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 116,791 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 17.9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 157,157 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 7.8 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 207,683 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 2.6 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 265,783 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.7 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 330,263 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 399,408 | * | 51 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 466,642 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 531,830 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 590,897 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 635,311 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 662,501 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 2.6 | | 673,494 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 7.9 | | 660,398 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | 18.3 | | 631,741 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 0 | | 33.7 | | 585,699 | * | 42 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 51.8 | | 522,169 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 68.9 | | 454,227 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 82.0 | | 379,365 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 44 | 15 | 0 | 91.0 | | 308,249 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 48 | 24 | 1 | 96.0 | | 240,814 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 34 | 1 | 98.5 | | 181,311 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 45 | 3 | 99.5 | | 130,230 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 55 | 5 | 99.9 | | 90,936 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 62 | 8 | 100.0 | | 60,233 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 67 | 13 | 100.0 | | 38,035 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 68 | 18 | 100.0 | | 23,082 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 67 | 25 | Yes | 12,995 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 62 | 33 | Yes | 7,044 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 56 | 41 | Yes | 3,491 | * | 28 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 48 | 51 | Yes | 1,630 | * | 27 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 39 | 60 | Yes | 694 | * | 26 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | 68 | Yes | 269 | * | 25 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | 72 | Yes | 90 | * | 24 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 26 | | 23 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | Yes | 9 | | 22 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | 1,194 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 2.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 24.4 | % | 9,617,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |