"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 -0.9
+0.7
-0.2
Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 +0.3
+0.4
Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 -0.2
-0.4
Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 +0.2
-0.1
+0.0
Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 -0.2
+0.2
-0.1
Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 +0.2
+0.6
-0.1
Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 +0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 +0.1
+0.6
Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 -0.1
+0.3
-0.1
Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 +1.2
-0.1
Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 -0.7
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Bahia+2.6-1.0-2.0
-6.8+1.3+6.2
+1.0-0.3-0.8
Gremio vs Ceara+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.0-0.2-0.7
Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG-0.3*+0.0+0.2
Sport Recife vs Internacional+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6-0.2-0.3
America-MG vs Athletico-PR+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.8-0.2-0.6
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Bragantino vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.1+0.2
Juventude vs Cuiaba-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Palmeiras vs Flamengo-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.4-0.5-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8019-0-092.6%Yes9370No1,194
75-78YesYes100No3*
7417-0-255.6Yes563311No18*
7316-2-141.2Yes41509No34
7216-1-227.0Yes2748242No63*
7115-3-118.2Yes1852272No143*
7015-2-214.4Yes14364091No348*
6915-1-36.7Yes73540172No643*
6814-3-24.3Yes424412560No1,245*
6714-2-32.1Yes216393391No2,429*
6613-4-20.7100.0%1933391520No4,178*
6513-3-30.399.90425432440No7,364*
6413-2-40.199.602164033900No12,263*
6312-4-30.098.3019324016200No19,470*
6212-3-4No95.705244225400No30,766*
6112-2-5No89.8021539349100No47,149*
6011-4-4No80.00183140173000No68,020*
5911-3-5No65.6032141267100No97,533*
5810-5-4No47.801123534153000No134,137*
5710-4-5No30.00052437248100No178,794*
5610-3-6No15.9002143232164000No233,631*
559-5-5No6.7016223425102000No294,581*
549-4-6No2.2002122832196100No360,262*
539-3-7No0.50015173128144100No429,889*
528-5-6No0.1001822312410200No497,075*
518-4-7No0.00003122631207100No559,777*
508-3-8No0.000141529301651000.0%610,762*
497-5-7NoNo00161931271230000.0649,224*
487-4-8NoNo0002923322392000.1668,848*
476-6-7NoNo00031328321851000.7669,605*
466-5-8NoNo0015183229133002.8649,268*
456-4-9NoNo000182434247108.3610,980*
445-6-8NoNo00031431331630018.8557,299*
435-5-9NoNo001622362681034.4491,483*
425-4-10NoNo002133236152052.7420,764*
414-6-9NoNo00162440254069.7348,723*
404-5-10NoNo0021538369082.8277,030*
394-4-11NoNo0018314416091.4212,953*
383-6-10NoNo004224825196.2158,565*
373-5-11NoNo01144736198.5112,187*
363-4-12NoNo0084246399.677,230*
353-3-13NoNo0043556599.950,399*
342-5-12NoNo0226639100.031,427*
332-4-13NoNo1186714Yes18,405*
322-3-14NoNo0126720Yes10,348*
311-5-13NoNo076528Yes5,445*
301-4-14NoNo36235Yes2,566*
291-3-15NoNo25444Yes1,265*
280-5-14NoNo14356Yes514*
270-4-15NoNo13466Yes193*
260-3-16NoNo3367Yes54*
250-2-17NoNo2971Yes17
240-1-18NoNo3367Yes3
230-0-19NoNo1387Yes1,194
Total:0.0%4.4%00001345678910101010863017.7%9,617,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship