Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras Title Chances 2021Did not play, title odds down 2.6 to 11.6% 35 points 11-2-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | -5.5 | | -2.1 | | -0.4 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | +3.6 | | | | +0.1 | | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | -1.5 | | +0.2 | | | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | -1.0 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | +0.9 | | -0.1 | | +0.1 | | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | +6.6-1.3-5.3 | | +2.9-0.3-2.5 | | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +1.3+0.8-1.4 | | -0.3*+0.0+0.2 | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | | | Santos vs Bahia | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | -92 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,554 | * | 87 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 537 | | 86 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 957 | * | 85 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,324 | | 84 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 98.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,131 | * | 83 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 97.2 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,536 | * | 82 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 96.0 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,085 | * | 81 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 93.7 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,227 | * | 80 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 90.1 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,935 | * | 79 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 85.6 | | Yes | 86 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,462 | * | 78 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 80.1 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 81,195 | * | 77 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 72.8 | | Yes | 73 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 116,564 | * | 76 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 64.4 | | Yes | 64 | 32 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 160,232 | * | 75 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 55.3 | | Yes | 55 | 39 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 212,605 | * | 74 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 45.7 | | Yes | 46 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 274,716 | * | 73 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 36.0 | | Yes | 36 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 339,410 | * | 72 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 27.0 | | Yes | 27 | 49 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 410,036 | * | 71 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 19.0 | | Yes | 19 | 48 | 30 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 479,763 | * | 70 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 12.5 | | Yes | 13 | 44 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 541,787 | * | 69 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 7.7 | | Yes | 8 | 37 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 595,761 | * | 68 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 4.3 | | Yes | 4 | 29 | 48 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 635,040 | * | 67 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 2.2 | | 100.0 | % | 2 | 21 | 49 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 658,607 | * | 66 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 1.0 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 14 | 45 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 662,444 | * | 65 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.4 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 8 | 39 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 648,753 | * | 64 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 4 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 614,646 | * | 63 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 99.8 | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 566,410 | * | 62 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 99.2 | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 507,554 | * | 61 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 97.6 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 439,838 | * | 60 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 93.5 | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 371,535 | * | 59 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | 85.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 303,732 | * | 58 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 72.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,862 | * | 57 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 54.3 | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 185,099 | * | 56 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 34.6 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 137,509 | * | 55 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 18.2 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 99,149 | * | 54 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | 7.3 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 69,279 | * | 53 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 2.1 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 46,246 | * | 52 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 0.4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 29,939 | * | 51 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 18,739 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 11,341 | * | 49 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 6,543 | * | 48 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 3,699 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 4 | 0 | | | | 0.4 | | 1,922 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | 2.9 | | 988 | * | 45 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 8 | 1 | | | 8.5 | | 503 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 14 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 3 | | | 18.2 | | 225 | * | 43 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 24 | 33 | 32 | 2 | 2 | | 36.6 | | 93 | * | 42 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 9 | 3 | | 50.0 | | 34 | * | 41 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | 57 | 29 | | | 85.7 | | 14 | * | 40 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | Yes | 4 | * | 39 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | Yes | 1 | | 38 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | Yes | 1 | | 35 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 30 | 62 | 5 | 99.9 | | 1,194 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 11.6 | % | 93.9 | % | 12 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 9,617,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |