How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/14 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Average seed Internacional 0 Sport Recife 0 -0.5 -0.2 Corinthians 0 Athletico-PR 0 +0.5 Atletico-GO 0 Santos 0 +0.5 Fluminense 0 Atletico-MG 0 +0.3 +0.0 Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 0 +0.2 +0.1 Botafogo 0 Gremio 0 +0.2 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Vasco da Gama vs Internacional -2.3+0.1Yes -0.5-0.2+0.4 Flamengo vs Corinthians +0.4+0.4-1.5 Ceara vs Fluminense +0.4+0.4-0.6 Santos vs Coritiba -0.5+0.5+0.5 Palmeiras vs Fortaleza -0.4+0.2+0.5 -0.1+0.1+0.1 Gremio vs Sao Paulo -0.4*-0.0+0.3 -0.2+0.0+0.1 Atletico-MG vs Bahia -0.1+0.0+0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 2/22 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Average seed Internacional vs Corinthians Yes+0.5-2.2 +0.4-0.1-0.5 Flamengo vs Internacional -0.9+0.6Yes -0.3+0.1+0.5 Santos vs Fluminense -0.3+0.9-0.2 Bahia vs Santos +0.5+0.5-0.6 Fluminense vs Fortaleza -0.5+0.4+0.4 Palmeiras vs Atletico-GO -0.4+0.1+0.5 -0.1+0.1+0.1 Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama -0.4+0.4+0.4 Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras +0.3*+0.0-0.4 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Bragantino vs Gremio +0.4+0.1-0.3 +0.2+0.1-0.1 Gremio vs Athletico-PR -0.3+0.1+0.4 -0.1+0.1+0.2 Sport Recife vs Atletico-MG +0.2+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Internacional finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 64 3 - 0 - 0 No Yes 2 71 27 No 1,325,082 62 2 - 1 - 0 No Yes 44 56 No 2,750,328 61 2 - 0 - 1 No Yes 21 71 7 0 No 4,646,009 60 1 - 2 - 0 No Yes 10 79 11 0 No 1,791,083 59 1 - 1 - 1 No Yes 4 67 26 2 No 5,720,843 58 1 - 0 - 2 No Yes 1 43 45 11 No 4,309,120 0 - 3 - 0 No Yes 0 39 47 14 No 373,146 57 0 - 2 - 1 No Yes 32 49 19 No 1,716,759 56 0 - 1 - 2 No 93.6 % 12 42 40 6 0 No 2,515,810 55 0 - 0 - 3 No 85.5 3 27 55 14 1 No 1,192,780 Total: No 98.7 % 0 14 51 24 10 1 0 No 26,340,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship