Fortaleza Esporte Clube Title Chances 2021 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.7 to 5.9% 32 points 9-5-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | -2.8 | | -7.9 | | +0.3 | | -0.7 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | +1.0 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.7 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.6 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | +0.4 | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.4 | | | | | | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +3.6-1.0-2.9 | | +10.2-2.5-8.6 | | -0.6+0.1+0.5 | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | +0.2+0.5-0.5 | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.8*+0.1+0.7 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.4+0.5-0.7 | | | | | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.4+0.4-0.7 | | | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.5+0.3-0.7 | | | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | | | *+0.0+0.6-0.4 | | | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | | | -0.3+0.4*+0.0 | | | | | | Santos vs Bahia | | | *+0.1+0.3-0.3 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Sao Paulo | | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | -89 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 568 | * | 80 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.4 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 170 | * | 79 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 380 | * | 78 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 98.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 683 | * | 77 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 97.5 | | Yes | 97 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,264 | * | 76 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 96.1 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,292 | * | 75 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 93.9 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,712 | * | 74 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 89.6 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,138 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 85.4 | | Yes | 85 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,745 | * | 72 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 79.8 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,712 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 71.8 | | Yes | 72 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,697 | * | 70 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 63.1 | | Yes | 63 | 32 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,543 | * | 69 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 53.4 | | Yes | 53 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,307 | * | 68 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 42.6 | | Yes | 43 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,988 | * | 67 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 32.6 | | Yes | 33 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,638 | * | 66 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 22.9 | | Yes | 23 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,523 | * | 65 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 14.7 | | Yes | 15 | 40 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,920 | * | 64 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 8.7 | | 100.0 | % | 9 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 145,358 | * | 63 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 4.4 | | 100.0 | | 4 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 168,688 | * | 62 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 1.9 | | 99.9 | | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 192,292 | * | 61 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.6 | | 99.4 | | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 213,023 | * | 60 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.2 | | 97.9 | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 227,698 | * | 59 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 93.8 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 113,230 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 92.8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 125,432 | * | 58 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 83.0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 240,698 | * | 57 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 64.8 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 238,161 | * | 56 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | 41.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 227,873 | * | 55 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 20.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 211,315 | * | 54 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 7.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 190,251 | * | 53 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 1.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 167,412 | * | 52 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 141,310 | * | 51 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 115,387 | * | 50 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 92,076 | * | 49 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 70,971 | * | 48 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.4 | | 51,946 | * | 47 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 5.9 | | 37,165 | * | 46 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16.9 | | 25,462 | * | 45 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35.2 | | 16,559 | * | 44 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 57.4 | | 10,627 | * | 43 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 76.1 | | 6,395 | * | 42 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 40 | 19 | 2 | 88.6 | | 3,677 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 32 | 5 | 94.9 | | 1,991 | * | 40 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 40 | 11 | 98.6 | | 993 | * | 39 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 50 | 17 | 99.6 | | 457 | * | 38 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 20 | 51 | 27 | Yes | 225 | * | 37 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 46 | 38 | Yes | 81 | * | 36 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 42 | 52 | Yes | 33 | * | 35 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | Yes | 12 | * | 34 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 75 | Yes | 4 | | 32 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 20 | 80 | Yes | 438 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.9 | % | 61.4 | % | 6 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |