Fortaleza Esporte Clube Title Chances 2021Did not play, title odds down 0.8 to 2.7% 32 points 9-5-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | -2.1 | | -5.9 | | -0.5 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | +1.2 | | | | | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.5 | | -0.5 | | | | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.5 | | +0.7 | | | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | -0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | +0.3 | | -0.2 | | | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.6 | | | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | | | +0.5 | | | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.3 | | | | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +2.2-0.5-1.5 | | +8.0-1.1-5.7 | | +0.6-0.1-0.5 | | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | +0.2+0.3-0.4 | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.3+0.6 | | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.8+0.4-0.8 | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.8+0.4-0.7 | | | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.7+0.4-0.8 | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | | | +0.2+0.6-0.6 | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | | | -0.4+0.5+0.2 | | | | Santos vs Bahia | | | +0.1+0.3-0.3 | | | | Fluminense vs Sao Paulo | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | -89 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,226 | * | 85 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.7 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 78 | | 84 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 97.9 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 190 | | 83 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 97.0 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 367 | * | 82 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 96.3 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 984 | | 81 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 94.7 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,811 | * | 80 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 88.8 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,381 | * | 79 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 84.8 | | Yes | 85 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,703 | * | 78 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 78.1 | | Yes | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,864 | * | 77 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 70.9 | | Yes | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,626 | * | 76 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 62.1 | | Yes | 62 | 34 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,433 | * | 75 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 52.1 | | Yes | 52 | 40 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,994 | * | 74 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 41.3 | | Yes | 41 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69,214 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 32.0 | | Yes | 32 | 48 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99,454 | * | 72 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 22.8 | | Yes | 23 | 47 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,101 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 15.3 | | Yes | 15 | 44 | 33 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 185,659 | * | 70 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 9.5 | | Yes | 10 | 38 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 242,081 | * | 69 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 5.4 | | 100.0 | % | 5 | 30 | 44 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 302,655 | * | 68 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 2.8 | | Yes | 3 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 373,172 | * | 67 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 1.3 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 14 | 41 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 441,443 | * | 66 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.5 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 506,133 | * | 65 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.2 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 566,873 | * | 64 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 612,714 | * | 63 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 99.6 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 646,180 | * | 62 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 98.6 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 661,868 | * | 61 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 96.1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 48 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 655,116 | * | 60 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 90.8 | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 634,211 | * | 59 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | 81.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 38 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 594,828 | * | 58 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 66.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 538,590 | * | 57 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 49.1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 477,795 | * | 56 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | 30.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 409,012 | * | 55 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 15.7 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 339,184 | * | 54 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 6.4 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 273,996 | * | 53 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 1.9 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 215,134 | * | 52 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 161,669 | * | 51 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 118,388 | * | 50 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 83,517 | * | 49 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 56,682 | * | 48 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 37,545 | * | 47 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.7 | | 23,628 | * | 46 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 2.4 | | 14,224 | * | 45 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | | | 8.6 | | 8,506 | * | 44 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | 19.8 | | 4,602 | * | 43 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 1 | | 36.9 | | 2,526 | * | 42 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 16 | 2 | | 55.9 | | 1,217 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 40 | 25 | 5 | | 70.2 | | 591 | * | 40 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 13 | 37 | 39 | 9 | | 84.7 | | 222 | * | 39 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 25 | 48 | 18 | | 91.0 | | 122 | * | 38 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | 48 | 33 | | Yes | 33 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | 67 | 7 | | Yes | 15 | * | 36 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 40 | 40 | | Yes | 5 | | 35 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | | Yes | 3 | | 34 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | Yes | 1 | | 32 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 69 | 23 | Yes | 1,194 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.7 | % | 77.3 | % | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 9,617,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |