Fluminense Football Club Title Chances 2021 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.006 to 0.05% 18 points 4-6-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | -0.1 | | -2.4 | | +7.6 | | -0.9 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | | | | | +1.0 | | -0.1 | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | | | -0.1 | | +0.5 | | -0.1 | | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.2 | | -0.5 | | | | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | | | +0.1 | | +0.7 | | -0.1 | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | | | | | +0.6 | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense vs Sao Paulo | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | +2.3-0.9-1.8 | | -10.6+2.4+9.1 | | +1.0-0.3-0.9 | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | | +0.7-0.4-0.4 | | | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.7-0.3-0.5 | | | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.7-0.3-0.5 | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Santos vs Bahia | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.3-0.3*-0.1 | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | | | | | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.9 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 438 | | 72 | -73 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 84.0 | | Yes | 84 | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25 | | 70 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 63.9 | | Yes | 64 | 33 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 64.8 | | Yes | 65 | 25 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 88 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50.6 | | Yes | 51 | 39 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 39.8 | | Yes | 40 | 45 | 13 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 339 | * | 66 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 25.5 | | Yes | 25 | 47 | 23 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 597 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 16.5 | | Yes | 16 | 42 | 32 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,141 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 10.7 | | Yes | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,003 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 5.0 | | Yes | 5 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,432 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 2.3 | | 99.9 | % | 2 | 16 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,372 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.8 | | 99.4 | | 1 | 8 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,432 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | 97.6 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,929 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 92.6 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,372 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 81.5 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,168 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 62.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,272 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 38.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 51,344 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 18.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 68,102 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 6.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 87,021 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 1.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 108,104 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 130,436 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 154,169 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 176,649 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 197,768 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.4 | | 214,783 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | | 227,067 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17.0 | | 234,019 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35.2 | | 233,774 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 56.8 | | 229,251 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 75.7 | | 216,575 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 88.5 | | 201,188 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 5 | 95.3 | | 179,435 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 40 | 9 | 98.4 | | 156,739 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 48 | 16 | 99.5 | | 131,898 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 52 | 24 | 99.9 | | 108,045 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 33 | 100.0 | | 85,081 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 100.0 | | 66,086 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 42 | 53 | 100.0 | | 49,201 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 35 | 62 | Yes | 35,314 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 28 | 71 | Yes | 24,499 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 23 | 77 | Yes | 16,119 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 17 | 83 | Yes | 10,510 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 6,331 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 3,755 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | Yes | 2,043 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 1,066 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 526 | * | 25 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 233 | * | 18 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 583 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 3.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 41.9 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |