How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/14 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Average seed Fluminense 0 Atletico-MG 0 -4.8 -0.2 Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 0 +0.6 Corinthians 0 Athletico-PR 0 +0.4 +0.1 Atletico-GO 0 Santos 0 +0.2 +0.0 Botafogo 0 Gremio 0 -0.1 Internacional 0 Sport Recife 0 -0.1 Sao Paulo 0 Ceara 0 +0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Ceara vs Fluminense -8.1-5.3+11.5 -0.7-0.1+0.7 Palmeiras vs Fortaleza -4.7+0.6+4.3 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Gremio vs Sao Paulo -2.3-0.7+2.7 Flamengo vs Corinthians +0.7+0.3-0.8 +0.2+0.0-0.2 Santos vs Coritiba -0.3*-0.0+0.4 -0.1-0.0+0.1 Vasco da Gama vs Internacional +0.2*+0.0-0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 2/22 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Average seed Santos vs Fluminense -8.9-5.3+12.2 -0.8-0.1+0.9 Fluminense vs Fortaleza +11.4-5.3-8.1 +0.7-0.2-0.6 Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras +4.3+0.7-4.7 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Palmeiras vs Atletico-GO -4.7+0.6+4.3 Bragantino vs Gremio +2.8-0.8-2.3 Gremio vs Athletico-PR -2.3-0.7+2.8 Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama -0.9+0.3+0.7 -0.2+0.0+0.2 Internacional vs Corinthians +0.5+0.2-0.6 +0.2+0.0-0.2 Bahia vs Santos +0.3*-0.0-0.3 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Flamengo vs Internacional +0.2*-0.0-0.2 Ceara vs Botafogo -0.1+0.1+0.1 Coritiba vs Ceara +0.1+0.1-0.1 Athletico-PR vs Sport Recife -0.1+0.0+0.0 Atletico-GO vs Coritiba -0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 56 3 - 0 - 0 No 80.5 % 4 29 48 20 No 490,790 54 2 - 1 - 0 No 33.1 3 30 63 4 No 935,914 53 2 - 0 - 1 No 15.6 1 15 64 19 1 No 1,468,224 52 1 - 2 - 0 No 3.2 3 57 36 4 No 599,204 51 1 - 1 - 1 No No 36 48 16 0 No 1,877,062 50 1 - 0 - 2 No No 10 40 42 8 0 No 1,468,706 0 - 3 - 0 No No 12 40 39 9 0 No 127,347 49 0 - 2 - 1 No No 3 23 52 20 2 No 598,255 48 0 - 1 - 2 No No 0 7 40 41 11 0 No 938,140 47 0 - 0 - 3 No No 1 14 40 36 9 1 No 491,078 Total: No 10.6 % 0 2 8 31 25 20 9 3 1 0 No 8,994,720
Points
Chance Will Win Championship