How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 -0.9
+9.5
-0.8
Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 +0.1
+0.6
Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 -0.1
-0.6
Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 -0.1
+0.4
-0.1
Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 +0.1
+0.9
-0.1
Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 +0.1
-0.2
Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.2
+0.0
Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 +0.9
Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 -0.2
Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 +0.6
-0.1
Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 +1.8
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo+0.0NoNo
+0.5-0.2-0.3
-11.6+2.5+9.5
+0.8-0.2-0.6
Gremio vs Ceara+1.5-0.3-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sport Recife vs Internacional+0.7-0.3-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Juventude vs Cuiaba-0.2-0.2+0.4
America-MG vs Athletico-PR+1.4-0.4-0.9
Santos vs Bahia+0.5-0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7820-0-087.0%Yes87130No1,194
7318-1-1YesYes100No1
7218-0-2NoYes100No1
7117-2-1YesYes100No1
7017-1-2NoYes5050No2
6916-3-1NoYes25678No12*
6816-2-2NoYes452828No29*
6716-1-31.6Yes2184621103No61*
6615-3-20.6Yes194231161No161*
6515-2-31.0Yes183136205No307*
6414-4-20.299.7%03194328700No587*
6314-3-3No99.011139361110No1,157*
6214-2-4No97.50629422020No2,118*
6113-4-3No92.70319413070No3,643*
6013-3-4No85.6011136371320No6,292*
5912-5-3No73.405264222400No10,324*
5812-4-4No56.9021638311020No16,224*
5712-3-5No38.10182937205100No25,526*
5611-5-4No21.80318362812200No38,540*
5511-4-5No10.200192734217100No56,170*
5411-3-6No3.700416313015410No80,675*
5310-5-5No1.0017213225112000No111,143*
5210-4-6No0.2002112531218200No150,123*
5110-3-7No0.0004152830176100No197,025*
509-5-6No0.000161830271441000.0%252,820*
499-4-7No0.0000282131251120000.0312,824*
489-3-8NoNo00021024312281000.1378,374*
478-5-7NoNo0014142831185100.8445,664*
468-4-8NoNo0015183129133003.1509,877*
457-6-7NoNo00282333248109.3566,770*
447-5-8NoNo00031330331730020.9615,502*
437-4-9NoNo0001620362991037.9647,252*
426-6-8NoNo002113037172056.4663,436*
416-5-9NoNo00052140284073.3659,460*
406-4-10NoNo0021337399085.5636,226*
395-6-9NoNo016304716093.1593,533*
385-5-10NoNo003215125097.1538,310*
375-4-11NoNo001135035199.0473,965*
364-6-10NoNo0074446299.7402,071*
354-5-11NoNo0043755499.9330,983*
344-4-12NoNo0228637100.0262,020*
333-6-11NoNo01216711100.0200,469*
323-5-12NoNo00156917100.0147,318*
313-4-13NoNo096823Yes103,854*
302-6-12NoNo066430Yes70,054*
292-5-13NoNo035839Yes44,778*
282-4-14NoNo25147Yes27,518*
272-3-15NoNo14356Yes15,697*
261-5-14NoNo03565Yes8,700*
251-4-15NoNo02773Yes4,309*
241-3-16NoNo2179Yes2,083*
230-5-15NoNo1387Yes872*
220-4-16NoNo991Yes362*
210-3-17NoNo1189Yes119*
19-20NoNo100Yes30*
180-0-20NoNo199Yes1,194
Total:0.0%0.6%00000011223457912162015252.1%9,617,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship