"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/14100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Fluminense 0 Atletico-MG 0 -3.4
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 0 +1.6
+0.0
Botafogo 0 Gremio 0 +0.5
Corinthians 0 Athletico-PR 0 +0.3
+0.1
Atletico-GO 0 Santos 0 +0.2
+0.0
Internacional 0 Sport Recife 0 +0.1
Sao Paulo 0 Ceara 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ceara vs Fluminense-7.6-5.1+10.4
-0.7-0.1+0.7
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-4.2+1.7+5.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Gremio vs Sao Paulo-2.2-0.9+2.1
Flamengo vs Corinthians+0.3*+0.0-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.3
Santos vs Coritiba-0.2+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional+0.4+0.0-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/22100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Fluminense-8.5-4.8+12.4
-0.8-0.1+0.9
Fluminense vs Fortaleza+8.6-5.7-7.9
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Palmeiras vs Atletico-GO-4.2+1.4+5.3
Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras+3.5*+0.0-4.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Athletico-PR-2.1-0.3+3.6
Bragantino vs Gremio+3.5-0.3-2.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bahia vs Santos+0.5*-0.0-0.3
+0.2+0.0-0.1
Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Flamengo vs Internacional+0.2-0.1-0.3
Internacional vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Coritiba vs Ceara+0.1+0.1-0.1
Ceara vs Botafogo-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
563-0-0No74.2%3234826No1,645,663
542-1-0No26.9225712No3,019,483
532-0-1No11.301166212No4,523,610
521-2-0No1.9258355No1,844,034
511-1-1NoNo3151181No5,500,974
501-0-2NoNo7404291No4,090,854
0-3-0NoNo10414080No372,911
490-2-1NoNo22151242No1,665,225
480-1-2NoNo073644130No2,465,166
470-0-3NoNo111413891No1,213,040
Total:No9.8%0283326199300No26,340,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship