Clube de Regatas do Flamengo Title Chances 2021 50/50Beat Athletico-PR 1-0, title odds up 7.5 to 33.7% 37 points 12-1-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | +7.6 | | +5.7 | | -0.1 | | +0.6 | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | +5.5 | | +7.3 | | -0.2 | | +0.7 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | +1.6 | | | | | | +0.0 | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.9 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | +0.7 | | | | | | | | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | +0.5 | | +0.2 | | | | +0.0 | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | -8.7-2.0+10.0 | | -3.5-0.5+3.9 | | | | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +1.7+1.5-2.6 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | -1.4+0.4+1.2 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Santos vs Bahia | | | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Sao Paulo | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | -97 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,998 | * | 83 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,965 | * | 82 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,309 | * | 81 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,480 | * | 80 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,596 | * | 79 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,088 | * | 78 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,329 | * | 77 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,550 | * | 76 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 97.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,149 | * | 75 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 96.3 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,658 | * | 74 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 94.2 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,055 | * | 73 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 91.3 | | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 86,985 | * | 72 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 87.6 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,981 | * | 71 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 82.2 | | Yes | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,979 | * | 70 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 75.4 | | Yes | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 154,392 | * | 69 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 67.3 | | Yes | 67 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 176,806 | * | 68 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 57.7 | | Yes | 58 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,080 | * | 67 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 46.9 | | Yes | 47 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,146 | | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 47.4 | | Yes | 47 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 110,566 | * | 66 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 36.6 | | Yes | 37 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 226,677 | * | 65 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 26.9 | | Yes | 27 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 136,395 | | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 24.9 | | Yes | 25 | 46 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,826 | * | 64 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 16.7 | | 100.0 | % | 17 | 42 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,379 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 17.1 | | 100.0 | | 17 | 42 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 115,943 | * | 63 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 9.9 | | 100.0 | | 10 | 35 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 228,594 | * | 62 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 9 | 5.0 | | 100.0 | | 5 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 217,409 | * | 61 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 2.1 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 199,594 | * | 60 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.7 | | 99.1 | | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 178,922 | * | 59 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 10 | 0.2 | | 96.4 | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 155,971 | * | 58 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 88.9 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 132,150 | * | 57 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 74.1 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,975 | * | 56 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 50.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 86,400 | * | 55 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 27.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 66,013 | * | 54 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 10.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 49,191 | * | 53 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | 2.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 35,296 | * | 52 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 24,568 | * | 51 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 16,134 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 10,422 | * | 49 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 6,273 | * | 48 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.9 | | 3,774 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | | | 6.5 | | 2,071 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | 17.0 | | 1,080 | * | 45 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 20 | 10 | 1 | | 31.6 | | 500 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 34 | 26 | 21 | 5 | | 51.7 | | 234 | * | 43 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 33 | 11 | | 77.0 | | 122 | * | 42 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 10 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 88.1 | | 42 | * | 41 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 20 | 70 | | Yes | 10 | * | 40 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 67 | | Yes | 3 | | 39 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | Yes | 2 | | 37 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 53 | 38 | Yes | 438 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 33.7 | % | 91.9 | % | 34 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |