Clube de Regatas do Flamengo Title Chances 2021Beat Athletico-PR 1-0, title odds up 11.6 to 44% 37 points 12-1-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | +6.9 | | +1.3 | | | | +0.3 | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | +4.1 | | +2.4 | | | | +0.3 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | +2.9 | | | | | | +0.1 | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | +1.1 | | -0.2 | | | | +0.1 | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | +0.8 | | -0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.3 | | | | | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | -9.6-2.2+10.2 | | -0.5-0.0+0.5 | | +0.0NoNo | | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +3.6+2.2-4.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | -0.7+0.8+1.3 | | | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | -97 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,632 | * | 89 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,114 | * | 88 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,056 | * | 87 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,371 | * | 86 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,541 | * | 85 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,735 | * | 84 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,435 | * | 83 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 103,797 | * | 82 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.1 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 146,098 | * | 81 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 96.9 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 194,179 | * | 80 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.0 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 251,397 | * | 79 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 92.5 | | Yes | 92 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 317,903 | * | 78 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 88.8 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 384,123 | * | 77 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 84.0 | | Yes | 84 | 16 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 453,012 | * | 76 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 77.8 | | Yes | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 517,783 | * | 75 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 70.5 | | Yes | 71 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 572,415 | * | 74 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 61.9 | | Yes | 62 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 617,846 | * | 73 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 52.1 | | Yes | 52 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 325,065 | | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 52.7 | | Yes | 53 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 318,543 | * | 72 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 42.4 | | Yes | 42 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 653,156 | * | 71 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 32.6 | | Yes | 33 | 50 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 647,099 | * | 70 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 23.7 | | Yes | 24 | 50 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 619,315 | * | 69 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 16.0 | | Yes | 16 | 47 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 578,163 | * | 68 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 10.0 | | Yes | 10 | 41 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 523,987 | * | 67 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 5.7 | | Yes | 6 | 33 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 462,503 | * | 66 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 2.9 | | 100.0 | % | 3 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 397,519 | * | 65 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 1.4 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 329,543 | * | 64 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.5 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 266,804 | * | 63 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 99.8 | | 0 | 5 | 25 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 209,198 | * | 62 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | 99.2 | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 160,848 | * | 61 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 97.4 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,953 | * | 60 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 93.3 | | | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,508 | * | 59 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 84.7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,434 | * | 58 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 70.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,241 | * | 57 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 51.1 | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,303 | * | 56 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 31.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 16,638 | * | 55 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 16.0 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,141 | * | 54 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 6.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,011 | * | 53 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 1.8 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,360 | * | 52 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,925 | * | 51 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 1,002 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | No | 481 | * | 49 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 2 | | | | | | No | 220 | * | 48 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 25 | 14 | 2 | | | | | No | 92 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 21 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 2 | | | | 2.1 | % | 47 | * | 46 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | 33 | 20 | 20 | | | | | No | 15 | * | 45 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 11 | | | | 11.1 | | 9 | * | 44 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | No | 2 | * | 43 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | No | 4 | * | 37 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 39 | 48 | 4 | 99.4 | | 1,194 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 44.0 | % | 99.2 | % | 44 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 9,617,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |