"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/23100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos 0 Cruzeiro 0 -3.3
+0.1
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 0 -1.9
+0.1
Fluminense 0 Palmeiras 1 -1.8
+0.1
CSA 0 Fluminense 0 -1.2
+0.1
Flamengo 0 Ceara 0 +1.0
-0.0
Cruzeiro 0 CSA 0 +0.6
-0.2
Botafogo 0 Corinthians 0 -0.4
+0.0
Ceara 0 Sao Paulo 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/30100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro+16.0-1.8-20.6
-0.6-0.1+0.8
Gremio vs Cruzeiro+12.3-4.2-21.0
-0.5+0.0+0.9
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo-5.2-1.2+8.4
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Botafogo vs Internacional+8.7-0.7-4.9
-0.2+0.0+0.1
CSA vs Bahia+7.3-0.9-4.6
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Avai vs Fluminense-6.2-2.8+4.9
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Chapecoense vs CSA-5.2-2.1+5.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Fluminense vs Fortaleza+5.6-0.8-4.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Ceara vs Corinthians+2.7+0.5-2.1
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Ceara vs Athletico-PR+2.7+0.5-1.9
-0.2-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
473-0-0NoNo062743231No374,824
452-1-0NoNo11770110No1,137,372
442-0-1NoNo46827100.0%2,445,138
431-2-0NoNo56386000.21,130,452
421-1-1NoNo285120201.64,792,729
411-0-2NoNo114535818.85,066,239
0-3-0NoNo114535818.7363,430
400-2-1NoNo4284521323.52,294,719
390-1-2NoNo01040391150.14,782,055
380-0-3NoNo220473177.73,310,802
Total:NoNo000220282617623.6%25,697,760
Points
Chance Will Win Championship