Esporte Clube Bahia Title Chances 2021 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.05 to 0.4% 24 points 7-3-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 | +0.2 | | +5.0 | | -7.1 | | +1.1 | | Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | *+0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.0 | | Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.9 | | -0.1 | | Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 | | | *-0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 | | | *-0.1 | | +0.4 | | -0.1 | | Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 | | | | | +0.4 | | -0.1 | | Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0 | | | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | | | Cuiaba 0 Santos 0 | | | +0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +0.1 | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | | Corinthians 0 Juventude 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Santos vs Bahia | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | -5.2-2.0+6.6 | | +5.5+0.9-6.1 | | -1.0-0.3+1.2 | | Palmeiras vs Flamengo | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | | | -0.4*+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Chapecoense | | | -0.5*+0.1+0.5 | | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | | | | Sport Recife vs Internacional | | | +0.3+0.2-0.5 | | +0.4-0.3-0.3 | | | | Gremio vs Ceara | | | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | | | | America-MG vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | | | | Atletico-GO vs Corinthians | | | *+0.1+0.3-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | | | Juventude vs Cuiaba | | | -0.2+0.2*+0.0 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Sao Paulo | | | *+0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2-0.3*-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 76 | -81 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 448 | * | 75 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 91.7 | % | Yes | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12 | * | 74 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 94.4 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36 | | 73 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 89.4 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85 | * | 72 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 84.6 | | Yes | 85 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175 | * | 71 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 76.7 | | Yes | 77 | 23 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 395 | * | 70 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 72.2 | | Yes | 72 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 636 | * | 69 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 61.4 | | Yes | 61 | 33 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,247 | * | 68 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 50.9 | | Yes | 51 | 40 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,302 | * | 67 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 38.7 | | Yes | 39 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,737 | * | 66 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 28.1 | | Yes | 28 | 46 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,101 | * | 65 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 19.8 | | Yes | 20 | 42 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,624 | * | 64 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 11.7 | | Yes | 12 | 36 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,817 | * | 63 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 5.9 | | 100.0 | % | 6 | 27 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,820 | * | 62 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 2.6 | | 99.9 | | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,233 | * | 61 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 1.0 | | 99.5 | | 1 | 9 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,751 | * | 60 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.3 | | 98.0 | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,964 | * | 59 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 93.3 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,577 | * | 58 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 83.1 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 98,112 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 65.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,351 | * | 56 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 42.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 145,357 | * | 55 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 21.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 169,333 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 7.5 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 193,108 | * | 53 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 1.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 212,352 | * | 52 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 227,611 | * | 51 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 238,617 | * | 50 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 240,813 | * | 49 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 237,569 | * | 48 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.7 | | 226,970 | * | 47 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.5 | | 210,808 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.3 | | 190,768 | * | 45 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26.7 | | 166,387 | * | 44 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 47.0 | | 140,753 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 67.3 | | 115,860 | * | 42 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 35 | 14 | 1 | 83.2 | | 92,202 | * | 41 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 25 | 3 | 92.7 | | 70,591 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 35 | 7 | 97.2 | | 52,114 | * | 39 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 45 | 13 | 99.1 | | 37,471 | * | 38 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 51 | 21 | 99.8 | | 25,747 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 30 | 99.9 | | 16,833 | * | 36 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 49 | 41 | 100.0 | | 10,650 | * | 35 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 43 | 50 | Yes | 6,303 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 37 | 60 | Yes | 3,675 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 30 | 69 | Yes | 1,934 | * | 32 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 23 | 77 | Yes | 1,011 | * | 31 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 19 | 81 | Yes | 456 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | Yes | 239 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | Yes | 88 | * | 28 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | Yes | 28 | * | 26 | -27 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 11 | * | 24 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 438 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 15.4 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14.6 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |