"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1 -10.5
-0.5
+0.1
-0.3
Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1 -3.7
+0.1
-0.1
Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0 +3.0
+0.1
Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0 -2.1
-0.0
Internacional 1 Bragantino 0 +1.9
+0.1
Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0 +0.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG-7.9-3.0+8.0
-0.8-0.1+0.7
+0.0-0.0No
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Palmeiras vs Flamengo+2.2+2.5-3.6
Bragantino vs Chapecoense-0.6+0.7+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Gremio vs Ceara+0.1+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Athletico-PR+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs Internacional+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.0+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-MG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
90-95YesYes100No3,294*
8916-3-0100.0%Yes1000No2,224*
8816-2-199.9Yes1000No5,242
8716-1-299.8Yes1000No8,970*
8615-3-199.6Yes1000No16,098*
8515-2-299.3Yes991No27,862*
8414-4-198.9Yes991No42,849*
8314-3-297.7Yes982No66,616*
8214-2-396.6Yes9730No97,788*
8113-4-294.6Yes9550No137,170*
8013-3-392.2Yes9280No188,279*
7912-5-288.8Yes89110No247,165*
7812-4-384.0Yes841600No311,702*
7712-3-478.4Yes782110No385,574*
7611-5-371.6Yes722710No454,601*
7511-4-463.6Yes643430No522,838*
7411-3-554.8Yes5540500No584,508*
7310-5-445.3Yes4546800No630,126*
7210-4-536.0Yes36511310No661,559*
719-6-426.6Yes27521920No359,338*
10-3-627.3Yes275219200No313,114
709-5-519.0Yes195126400No660,353*
699-4-612.6Yes134634700No634,011*
688-6-57.7Yes839401210No589,954*
678-5-64.2100.0%4314419200No530,222*
668-4-72.1100.02224427500No465,923*
657-6-60.9100.011440359100No396,526*
647-5-70.4100.008334116200No325,534*
637-4-80.199.8042443244000No260,340*
626-6-70.099.202164033910No201,918*
616-5-80.097.3019324016200No152,252*
606-4-90.092.80042241256100No111,485*
595-6-80.084.000113363413300No78,609*
585-5-9No69.70062637237100No53,459*
575-4-10No50.50215333114300No35,380*
564-6-9No30.7172334259200No22,357*
554-5-10No15.10212283119610No13,788*
544-4-11No5.81517302814400No8,047*
533-6-10No1.70282231241030No4,630*
523-5-11No0.3021126302182No2,417*
513-4-12NoNo031327311861No1,304*
502-6-11NoNo1617292813510No623*
492-5-12NoNo272031241340No294*
482-4-13NoNo213172628132No127*
471-6-12NoNo413243125221.8%55*
461-5-13NoNo18254314No28*
451-4-14NoNo10303030No10*
431-2-16NoNo5050No2*
410-3-16NoNo100Yes1
380-0-19NoNo01174634198.51,194
Total:34.6%98.9%3530181042100000000000000.0%9,617,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship