Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Title Chances 50/50Beat Athletico-PR 2-1, title odds up 2.4 to 5.8% 18 points 5-3-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 | +1.7 | | +8.4 | | -4.1 | | +1.1 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.3 | | *-0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | *-0.1 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | -2.0-0.9+2.5 | | -7.6-2.4+9.1 | | +2.9+0.6-3.3 | | -1.0-0.3+1.1 | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1+0.3-0.3 | | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | | | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.5+0.2+0.3 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.3*+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.1+0.2 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.4+0.3+0.2 | | | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.3+0.3-0.5 | | +0.1-0.2*-0.0 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.3+0.4*+0.0 | | | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | | +0.1-0.2*-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 82 | -99 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 440 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.2 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 242 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 396 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 639 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.6 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 996 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 97.1 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,578 | * | 75 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 96.3 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,305 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 93.6 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,521 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 91.2 | | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,307 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 88.0 | | Yes | 88 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,447 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 82.8 | | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,517 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 75.8 | | Yes | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,549 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 68.4 | | Yes | 68 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,431 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 58.6 | | Yes | 59 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,487 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 48.2 | | Yes | 48 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,797 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 37.9 | | Yes | 38 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,160 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 27.3 | | Yes | 27 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,854 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 17.9 | | 100.0 | % | 18 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,526 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 10.4 | | 100.0 | | 10 | 32 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,792 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 5.1 | | 99.8 | | 5 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,862 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 2.1 | | 99.2 | | 2 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,489 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.7 | | 96.9 | | 1 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,958 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.2 | | 90.6 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,878 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 77.2 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 126,693 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 56.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 132,612 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 31.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 136,899 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 12.9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 138,223 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 3.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 136,286 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.6 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 131,922 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 125,365 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 117,490 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 106,439 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.2 | | 94,190 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 | | 82,252 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16.2 | | 69,843 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34.1 | | 58,074 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 55.9 | | 47,278 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 74.3 | | 37,127 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 4 | 86.9 | | 29,156 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 31 | 10 | 94.6 | | 21,936 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 16 | 98.0 | | 16,435 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 24 | 44 | 26 | 99.5 | | 11,575 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 37 | 99.8 | | 7,900 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 48 | 100.0 | | 5,402 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 60 | Yes | 3,538 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | Yes | 2,351 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 76 | Yes | 1,458 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 84 | Yes | 836 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 88 | Yes | 499 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | Yes | 262 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 149 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 74 | * | 18 | -29 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 364 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.8 | % | 40.9 | % | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7.8 | % | 2,401,920 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |