Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Title ChancesBeat Athletico-PR 2-1, title odds up 2.3 to 3.4% 18 points 5-3-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 | +0.6 | | +7.9 | | -1.8 | | +0.9 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.2 | | -0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.7 | | +0.3 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | | | +0.4 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.5 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | -1.2-0.6+1.5 | | -7.9-2.6+8.7 | | +1.2+0.2-1.2 | | -0.8-0.2+0.9 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +0.1+0.3-0.3 | | -0.4+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.5-0.2 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.6+0.5+0.5 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.7+0.4+0.8 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.6+0.3-0.5 | | | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.5+0.3+0.4 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.3-0.4 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | -99 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,026 | * | 84 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.9 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175 | * | 83 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 98.0 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 349 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 96.8 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 603 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 95.9 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 959 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 95.0 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,666 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 93.6 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,638 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 90.4 | | Yes | 90 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,232 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 85.5 | | Yes | 85 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,519 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 81.3 | | Yes | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,238 | * | 75 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 76.3 | | Yes | 76 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,625 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 69.1 | | Yes | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,420 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 61.4 | | Yes | 61 | 34 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,405 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 53.3 | | Yes | 53 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,410 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 43.7 | | Yes | 44 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54,813 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 34.6 | | Yes | 35 | 46 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73,522 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 25.8 | | Yes | 26 | 47 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 94,796 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 18.1 | | Yes | 18 | 44 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 119,893 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 11.8 | | 100.0 | % | 12 | 38 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 148,241 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 6.8 | | 100.0 | | 7 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 179,240 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 3.7 | | 99.9 | | 4 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 212,037 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 1.7 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 246,248 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.6 | | 99.1 | | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 280,481 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.2 | | 97.3 | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 313,220 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 92.9 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 341,253 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 84.0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 364,821 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 69.5 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 382,465 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 50.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 393,370 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 31.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 396,922 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | 15.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 391,796 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 5.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 377,158 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 1.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 356,872 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 331,463 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 300,589 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 266,861 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 231,561 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 197,071 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 164,166 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.2 | | 133,047 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 8.8 | | 106,105 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19.6 | | 82,248 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35.3 | | 61,861 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 52.8 | | 45,538 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 69.6 | | 32,895 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 82.8 | | 23,104 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 40 | 21 | 3 | 91.3 | | 15,827 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 6 | 96.2 | | 10,512 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 98.4 | | 6,888 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 99.7 | | 4,187 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 49 | 25 | 99.7 | | 2,594 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 34 | 99.9 | | 1,566 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 44 | 43 | Yes | 877 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 39 | 55 | Yes | 468 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 36 | 62 | Yes | 218 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 25 | 72 | Yes | 128 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | 76 | Yes | 74 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 8 | 88 | Yes | 25 | * | 28 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | Yes | 9 | * | 23 | -27 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 11 | * | 18 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 854 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.4 | % | 45.7 | % | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |