How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 6/18 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 -0.4 -3.9 +4.0 -0.9 Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 -0.2 -2.4 +5.2 -0.9 Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 +0.1 +0.2 Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +0.2 *-0.1 +0.0 Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.3 +0.0 Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.2 -0.3 Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 +0.2 +0.2 Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.2 Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.2 -0.2 Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 +0.1 +0.2 Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 +0.1 +0.1 Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.1 -0.1 Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 +0.1 +0.2 Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0 *+0.1 Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.3 If winner is:HomeEmpateAway Week of 6/24 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Sao Paulo vs Fluminense +0.1-0.0-0.1 +1.9-0.5-1.3 -7.4+1.4+5.8 +1.0-0.2-0.8 Botafogo vs Avai -0.1+0.1+0.2 -0.3-0.2+0.6 Santos vs Sport Recife -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.5-0.1+0.8 Cruzeiro vs Coritiba +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.4-0.1-0.3 Bahia vs Flamengo +0.0+0.1-0.1 +0.4-0.2-0.3 Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.3-0.2+0.5 Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.2-0.2+0.5 Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras -0.1+0.1*+0.0 *-0.0-0.1+0.1 Atletico-PR vs Vitoria -0.1-0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - L - E wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 97 29 - 0 - 0 Yes Yes 100 No 1,014 83 23 - 2 - 4 66.7 % Yes 67 33 No 3 82 23 - 3 - 3 66.7 Yes 67 33 No 3 81 23 - 4 - 2 Yes Yes 100 No 8 * 80 22 - 3 - 4 77.8 Yes 78 11 11 No 9 * 79 22 - 4 - 3 75.0 Yes 75 25 No 24 * 78 21 - 3 - 5 83.8 Yes 84 16 No 37 * 77 21 - 4 - 4 71.7 Yes 72 26 2 No 92 * 76 20 - 3 - 6 66.5 Yes 66 31 3 No 182 * 75 20 - 4 - 5 64.1 Yes 64 28 7 0 No 306 * 74 20 - 5 - 4 54.4 Yes 54 39 7 0 No 522 * 73 19 - 4 - 6 46.6 Yes 47 44 9 0 No 820 * 72 19 - 5 - 5 40.1 Yes 40 47 13 0 No 1,277 * 71 19 - 6 - 4 31.9 Yes 32 49 18 1 No 2,132 * 70 18 - 5 - 6 23.8 99.9 % 24 50 24 2 0 No 3,396 * 69 18 - 6 - 5 16.8 99.8 17 47 32 4 0 No 5,227 * 68 18 - 7 - 4 10.9 99.5 11 42 39 8 0 0 No 7,885 * 67 17 - 6 - 6 7.2 98.6 7 36 43 13 1 0 0 No 11,638 * 66 17 - 7 - 5 4.2 96.9 4 28 46 19 3 0 0 No 16,585 * 65 16 - 6 - 7 2.2 93.2 2 20 45 26 6 1 0 No 23,608 * 64 16 - 7 - 6 1.0 86.6 1 13 40 33 11 2 0 0 No 33,131 * 63 16 - 8 - 5 0.4 76.8 0 7 32 37 19 4 0 0 0 No 44,668 * 62 15 - 7 - 7 0.1 63.1 0 4 22 37 26 9 1 0 0 No 59,507 * 61 15 - 8 - 6 0.0 47.0 0 2 14 32 32 16 4 1 0 No 77,596 * 60 15 - 9 - 5 0.0 31.1 0 1 7 24 34 24 9 2 0 0 No 100,892 * 59 14 - 8 - 7 0.0 17.4 0 0 3 14 30 30 17 5 1 0 0 No 126,022 * 58 14 - 9 - 6 No 8.1 0 1 7 21 31 25 11 3 0 0 No 155,442 * 57 14 - 10 - 5 No 2.9 0 0 3 12 26 30 20 7 2 0 0 No 188,207 * 56 13 - 9 - 7 No 0.8 0 0 1 5 17 29 27 15 5 1 0 0 No 224,495 * 55 13 - 10 - 6 No 0.2 0 0 2 8 21 30 25 12 3 0 0 0 No 262,559 * 54 12 - 9 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 3 11 24 29 21 9 2 0 0 0 No 300,702 * 53 12 - 10 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 1 4 14 26 29 18 7 1 0 0 No 338,646 * 52 12 - 11 - 6 No No 0 0 1 6 17 28 27 15 5 1 0 0 No 373,556 * 51 11 - 10 - 8 No No 0 0 0 2 8 20 29 25 12 3 0 0 0 0.0 % 404,573 * 50 11 - 11 - 7 No No 0 0 0 2 10 23 30 22 9 2 0 0 0 0.0 430,885 * 49 11 - 12 - 6 No No 0 0 1 4 13 26 30 19 7 1 0 0 0.1 447,396 * 48 10 - 11 - 8 No No 0 0 1 5 16 29 28 15 4 1 0 0 0.7 456,926 * 47 10 - 12 - 7 No No 0 0 2 8 21 31 25 11 3 0 0 2.9 459,759 * 46 10 - 13 - 6 No No 0 0 0 0 3 11 25 31 21 7 1 0 0 8.3 451,148 * 45 9 - 12 - 8 No No 0 0 1 5 16 30 29 15 4 0 0 19.2 433,984 * 44 9 - 13 - 7 No No 0 0 2 8 23 33 25 9 1 0 34.9 410,870 * 43 9 - 14 - 6 No No 0 0 0 3 14 29 32 17 4 0 53.1 378,225 * 42 8 - 13 - 8 No No 0 0 1 7 22 35 26 8 1 69.9 345,166 * 41 8 - 14 - 7 No No 0 0 0 3 14 32 34 15 2 82.9 306,398 * 40 8 - 15 - 6 No No 0 0 1 8 25 38 24 5 91.3 265,742 * 39 7 - 14 - 8 No No 0 0 4 17 37 33 9 96.1 225,992 * 38 7 - 15 - 7 No No 0 0 2 11 33 40 15 98.4 188,318 * 37 7 - 16 - 6 No No 0 1 6 26 44 23 99.4 151,869 * 36 6 - 15 - 8 No No 0 0 3 19 45 32 99.8 121,391 * 35 6 - 16 - 7 No No 0 0 1 13 44 42 99.9 94,386 * 34 6 - 17 - 6 No No 0 1 9 40 51 100.0 70,965 * 33 5 - 16 - 8 No No 0 5 34 60 Yes 52,617 * 32 5 - 17 - 7 No No 0 0 3 28 69 100.0 37,933 * 31 5 - 18 - 6 No No 0 2 22 76 Yes 26,396 * 30 4 - 17 - 8 No No 0 1 17 82 Yes 17,837 * 29 4 - 18 - 7 No No 0 0 12 87 Yes 11,970 * 28 4 - 19 - 6 No No 0 9 91 Yes 7,543 * 27 3 - 18 - 8 No No 0 6 94 Yes 4,759 * 26 3 - 19 - 7 No No 0 4 96 Yes 2,794 * 25 3 - 20 - 6 No No 3 97 Yes 1,677 * 24 3 - 21 - 5 No No 2 98 Yes 895 * 23 2 - 20 - 7 No No 2 98 Yes 474 * 22 2 - 21 - 6 No No 1 99 Yes 272 * 21 2 - 22 - 5 No No 100 Yes 114 * 20 1 - 21 - 7 No No 2 98 Yes 46 * 10 -19 No No 100 Yes 1,049 * Total: 0.1 % 3.5 % 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 8 8 7 4 27.2 % 8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship