How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 7/21 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Flamengo 2 Botafogo 0 -0.2 +0.0 Santos 1 Flamengo 1 -0.0 -0.5 +0.2 -0.1 Sao Paulo 3 Corinthians 1 +0.1 *-0.1 Gremio 2 Sao Paulo 1 -0.2 America-MG 2 Internacional 0 +0.1 +1.1 -0.1 Atletico-MG 2 Parana 0 -0.2 -0.6 Fluminense 1 Palmeiras 0 +0.1 +0.3 Vitoria 1 Sport Recife 0 +0.1 +0.6 Corinthians 2 Cruzeiro 0 +0.1 +0.2 Botafogo 1 Chapecoense 0 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 7/29 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Santos vs America-MG +2.2-0.9-1.8 -7.4+1.7+7.1 +0.9-0.3-0.8 Flamengo vs Sport Recife -0.3*+0.0+0.6 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo -0.1+0.1+0.1 Bahia vs Atletico-MG +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.8-0.1-0.5 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Palmeiras vs Parana -0.2+0.1+0.2 -0.6-0.2+1.2 Chapecoense vs Gremio +0.2+0.1-0.2 +1.2-0.1-0.7 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Ceara vs Fluminense +0.2+0.1-0.1 +0.3-0.2-0.1 Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians *-0.0+0.1-0.1 Internacional vs Botafogo -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.2*-0.0+0.4 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Atletico-PR vs Vitoria +0.1*+0.0-0.1 +0.2-0.4*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 88 24 - 0 - 0 Yes Yes 100 No 1,194 79 20 - 3 - 1 66.7 % Yes 67 33 No 3 78 20 - 2 - 2 Yes Yes 100 No 6 * 77 19 - 4 - 1 88.9 Yes 89 11 No 9 * 76 19 - 3 - 2 85.0 Yes 85 15 No 20 * 75 19 - 2 - 3 71.4 Yes 71 29 No 28 * 74 18 - 4 - 2 74.4 Yes 74 23 2 No 86 * 73 18 - 3 - 3 64.2 Yes 64 31 5 No 162 * 72 18 - 2 - 4 54.3 Yes 54 41 4 No 302 * 71 17 - 4 - 3 44.6 Yes 45 44 11 1 No 596 * 70 17 - 3 - 4 37.5 Yes 37 46 14 2 No 1,091 * 69 16 - 5 - 3 26.6 Yes 27 45 24 4 0 No 1,883 * 68 16 - 4 - 4 16.8 Yes 17 44 31 7 1 No 3,133 * 67 16 - 3 - 5 10.3 Yes 10 39 37 13 2 0 No 5,126 * 66 15 - 5 - 4 5.9 100.0 % 6 30 40 20 4 1 0 No 8,104 * 65 15 - 4 - 5 2.8 99.9 3 21 39 28 9 1 0 No 12,787 * 64 15 - 3 - 6 1.3 99.7 1 12 33 33 16 3 0 No 19,239 * 63 14 - 5 - 5 0.4 98.7 0 7 24 36 24 8 1 0 0 No 28,073 * 62 14 - 4 - 6 0.1 96.2 0 3 15 32 31 15 3 0 0 No 40,680 * 61 13 - 6 - 5 0.0 90.0 0 1 8 24 34 24 8 2 0 0 No 56,861 * 60 13 - 5 - 6 0.0 78.3 0 0 3 14 29 31 16 5 1 0 No 78,911 * 59 13 - 4 - 7 No 61.9 0 1 7 21 33 25 10 2 0 0 0 No 105,411 * 58 12 - 6 - 6 No 41.7 0 0 3 12 27 32 19 6 1 0 0 No 137,431 * 57 12 - 5 - 7 No 23.3 0 0 1 5 17 31 28 14 4 0 0 0 No 176,245 * 56 12 - 4 - 8 No 10.4 0 0 2 9 23 32 23 9 2 0 0 No 220,847 * 55 11 - 6 - 7 No 3.6 0 0 3 13 27 31 19 6 1 0 0 No 270,045 * 54 11 - 5 - 8 No 0.9 0 0 1 6 18 30 28 14 4 0 0 0 No 322,185 * 53 11 - 4 - 9 No 0.2 0 0 0 2 9 22 32 24 10 2 0 0 0 No 378,132 * 52 10 - 6 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 3 12 27 31 19 6 1 0 0 No 431,203 * 51 10 - 5 - 9 No 0.0 0 0 0 1 5 17 30 28 14 4 0 0 No 480,522 * 50 9 - 7 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 2 8 22 32 24 10 2 0 0 0.0 % 523,929 * 49 9 - 6 - 9 No No 0 0 0 3 12 27 31 19 6 1 0 0 0.0 561,129 * 48 9 - 5 - 10 No No 0 0 1 5 18 31 29 13 3 0 0 0.3 586,036 * 47 8 - 7 - 9 No No 0 0 0 2 9 24 33 23 8 1 0 0 1.2 594,802 * 46 8 - 6 - 10 No No 0 0 0 0 4 15 30 31 16 4 0 0 3.9 592,571 * 45 8 - 5 - 11 No No 0 0 1 7 22 34 26 9 1 0 9.7 575,144 * 44 7 - 7 - 10 No No 0 0 3 13 30 34 17 3 0 0 20.2 544,629 * 43 7 - 6 - 11 No No 0 0 1 6 22 36 26 8 1 0 34.6 503,209 * 42 7 - 5 - 12 No No 0 0 2 13 33 35 15 2 0 51.3 454,917 * 41 6 - 7 - 11 No No 0 0 1 7 25 39 23 5 0 67.2 399,542 * 40 6 - 6 - 12 No No 0 0 3 16 37 33 10 1 80.4 340,549 * 39 6 - 5 - 13 No No 0 0 1 9 32 39 16 2 89.4 285,714 * 38 5 - 7 - 12 No No 0 0 0 5 24 42 25 4 94.9 231,346 * 37 5 - 6 - 13 No No 0 0 2 16 41 34 7 97.8 182,584 * 36 5 - 5 - 14 No No 0 1 10 36 42 11 99.2 139,559 * 35 4 - 7 - 13 No No 0 0 5 29 47 18 99.7 103,574 * 34 4 - 6 - 14 No No 0 3 22 49 26 99.9 74,801 * 33 4 - 5 - 15 No No 0 1 15 49 36 100.0 52,028 * 32 3 - 7 - 14 No No 0 0 9 45 45 100.0 34,624 * 31 3 - 6 - 15 No No 0 5 39 55 Yes 22,667 * 30 3 - 5 - 16 No No 0 3 32 64 Yes 14,328 * 29 3 - 4 - 17 No No 0 2 26 72 Yes 8,499 * 28 2 - 6 - 16 No No 1 19 80 Yes 4,862 * 27 2 - 5 - 17 No No 0 15 84 Yes 2,643 * 26 2 - 4 - 18 No No 0 10 90 Yes 1,378 * 25 1 - 6 - 17 No No 7 93 Yes 677 * 24 1 - 5 - 18 No No 5 95 Yes 304 * 23 1 - 4 - 19 No No 1 99 Yes 123 * 22 1 - 3 - 20 No No 2 98 Yes 48 * 18 -21 No No 100 Yes 35 * 16 0 - 0 - 24 No No 0 100 Yes 1,194 Total: 0.1 % 4.5 % 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 10 8 5 2 23.5 % 9,617,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship