"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife 0 Ponte Preta 0 -0.9
+0.7
-0.2
Sao Paulo 3 Cruzeiro 2 +0.3
+1.0
Atletico-MG 2 Flamengo 0 +0.3
+0.6
Atletico-GO 1 Coritiba 0 +0.2
-0.2
+0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Palmeiras 1 +0.2
+0.0
Vitoria 0 Avai 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo+0.0No-0.0
+3.6-1.2-2.8
-8.2+1.5+7.0
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Flamengo vs Atletico-GO-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1*-0.1+0.3
Gremio vs Atletico-PR+0.2*+0.0-0.4
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Gremio-0.3*+0.0+0.1
+0.5*-0.0-0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Santos vs Fluminense+0.1+0.1-0.3
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Bahia-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.5
Fluminense vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.2*+0.0
*-0.1-0.1+0.2
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.6*-0.0+1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.3*-0.1
Coritiba vs Santos+0.6*-0.0-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Corinthians vs Vitoria-0.4*+0.1+1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Sao Paulo+0.3-0.6+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Corinthians-0.2*-0.0+0.0
+1.1+0.1-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7818-0-020.3%Yes20755No654
7517-0-1NoYes100No1
7416-2-0NoYes100No1
7316-1-133.3Yes333333No3
7216-0-2NoYes5050No8*
7115-2-1NoYes40583No40
7015-1-2NoYes355015No74*
6914-3-10.6Yes1256014No157*
6814-2-20.3Yes02157201No365*
6714-1-3NoYes1455292No679*
6613-3-20.1Yes08483950No1,290*
6513-2-3NoYes4424590No2,329*
6412-4-2NoYes33050161No4,080*
6312-3-3No99.9%1234923300No7,055*
6212-2-4No99.7115463260No11,569*
6111-4-3No98.80839391210No17,948*
6011-3-4No96.404294320300No27,465*
5911-2-5No91.002194228810No41,141*
5810-4-4No80.80110343616300No57,349*
5710-3-5No65.5052437258100No80,445*
569-5-4No46.00213313316410No107,246*
559-4-5No26.400521332711200No138,992*
549-3-6No12.1002102632218100No176,440*
538-5-5No4.10041528301751000No214,592*
528-4-6No0.90016182927144100No254,494*
518-3-7No0.1002821302512300No293,807*
507-5-6No0.00021023302310200No327,291*
497-4-7No0.000031125302182000.0%353,778*
487-3-8NoNo00141327301961000.1372,843*
476-5-7NoNo00151629291641000.6379,043*
466-4-8NoNo0016193127123002.9373,415*
456-3-9NoNo00282333248109.6356,436*
445-5-8NoNo0031228331840023.2328,063*
435-4-9NoNo0015183430111042.8294,142*
425-3-10NoNo00192737224063.3253,158*
414-5-9NoNo00317363310179.9210,353*
404-4-10NoNo0018294119290.8170,237*
394-3-11NoNo003194330496.5131,587*
383-5-10NoNo001113842898.897,559*
373-4-11NoNo00630501499.769,164*
363-3-12NoNo0221542299.947,465*
352-5-11NoNo01135432100.031,049*
342-4-12NoNo084943Yes18,922*
332-3-13NoNo044254Yes11,128*
321-5-12NoNo023563Yes5,997*
311-4-13NoNo12673Yes3,107*
301-3-14NoNo02080Yes1,499*
291-2-15NoNo01585Yes651*
280-4-14NoNo496Yes266*
270-3-15NoNo793Yes96*
260-2-16NoNo496Yes27
250-1-17NoNo100Yes6
240-0-18NoNo199Yes654
Total:0.0%6.2%0001234567788999975121.7%5,276,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship