Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras Title ChancesLost to Bahia 0-1, title odds down 5.5 to 17.9% 22 points 6-4-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | -5.7 | | -4.7 | | +0.1 | | -0.5 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +3.0 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.6 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.4 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +7.1-1.3-6.2 | | +6.0-1.2-5.1 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | +0.6-0.1-0.6 | | Santos vs Flamengo | +1.0+0.5-1.0 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1+0.3-0.3 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.5+0.3+0.5 | | | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | -103 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,822 | * | 88 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.6 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 771 | * | 87 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,327 | * | 86 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,319 | * | 85 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,717 | * | 84 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,826 | * | 83 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,113 | * | 82 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 98.1 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,624 | * | 81 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 97.1 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,768 | * | 80 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 95.6 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,495 | * | 79 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 93.8 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,186 | * | 78 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 91.0 | | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 53,690 | * | 77 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 87.8 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,390 | * | 76 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 83.4 | | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92,328 | * | 75 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 78.0 | | Yes | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,727 | * | 74 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 71.6 | | Yes | 72 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 145,681 | * | 73 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 64.1 | | Yes | 64 | 32 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 177,393 | * | 72 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 56.0 | | Yes | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 209,928 | * | 71 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 47.1 | | Yes | 47 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 244,703 | * | 70 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 38.1 | | Yes | 38 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 280,174 | * | 69 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 28.9 | | Yes | 29 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 312,295 | * | 68 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 20.8 | | Yes | 21 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 340,760 | * | 67 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 13.9 | | 100.0 | % | 14 | 42 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 365,711 | * | 66 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 8.3 | | 100.0 | | 8 | 34 | 39 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 383,228 | * | 65 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 4.6 | | 100.0 | | 5 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 394,013 | * | 64 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 2.2 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 396,698 | * | 63 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.9 | | 99.3 | | 1 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 391,077 | * | 62 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.3 | | 97.7 | | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 377,651 | * | 61 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 93.7 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 357,830 | * | 60 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 85.4 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 332,126 | * | 59 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 71.0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 300,655 | * | 58 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 51.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 268,368 | * | 57 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 31.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 232,948 | * | 56 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 15.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 199,013 | * | 55 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 5.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 165,822 | * | 54 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 1.5 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 134,667 | * | 53 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 107,677 | * | 52 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 83,720 | * | 51 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 64,149 | * | 50 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 48,194 | * | 49 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 35,071 | * | 48 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.3 | | 24,486 | * | 47 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 4.9 | | 17,174 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | 12.1 | | 11,405 | * | 45 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | | 23.9 | | 7,568 | * | 44 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 41.9 | | 4,875 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 59.2 | | 3,031 | * | 42 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 74.6 | | 1,826 | * | 41 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 87.0 | | 1,050 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 92.3 | | 608 | * | 39 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 7 | 96.6 | | 296 | * | 38 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 32 | 42 | 17 | Yes | 173 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 36 | 35 | 23 | Yes | 81 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 23 | 48 | 27 | Yes | 48 | * | 35 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 47 | 32 | Yes | 19 | * | 34 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | 17 | Yes | 6 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 75 | Yes | 4 | | 32 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1 | | 22 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 854 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 17.9 | % | 80.7 | % | 18 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |