"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/19100.0*Average seed
Santos 1 Gremio 0 +0.1
Week of 11/25100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras 2 Botafogo 0 +0.5
Flamengo 1 Santos 2 -0.2
Gremio 1 Atletico-GO 1 +0.2
Cruzeiro 0 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/3100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR vs Palmeiras-0.4-0.4+0.5
Atletico-MG vs Gremio+0.2+0.2-0.3
Santos vs Avai-0.3+0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
661-0-0NoYes100No21,996,902
640-1-0NoYes285022No11,665,686
630-0-1NoYes285022No14,547,172
Total:NoYes612712No48,209,760
Points
Chance Will Win Championship