Sport Club Internacional Title Chances 50/50Lost to Coritiba 0-1, title odds down 0.7 to 2% 14 points 4-2-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | -1.0 | | -6.0 | | +4.4 | | -0.9 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.2 | | | | +0.3 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.4 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | *-0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | America-MG vs Internacional | -0.8-0.4+1.1 | | -5.5-2.0+6.8 | | +5.6+1.1-6.3 | | -1.0-0.3+1.2 | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.4*-0.1-0.3 | | | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | -0.2-0.2+0.4 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | | | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3-0.2*-0.1 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | | *+0.0-0.3+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Internacional finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 341 | * | 79 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 98.1 | % | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54 | * | 78 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 98.6 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 134 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 96.4 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 222 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 96.4 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 364 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 95.2 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 627 | * | 73 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 92.9 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 954 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 89.6 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,520 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 85.2 | | Yes | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,368 | * | 70 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 78.0 | | Yes | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,650 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 71.3 | | Yes | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,178 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 61.8 | | Yes | 62 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,527 | * | 67 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 52.3 | | Yes | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,521 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 40.8 | | Yes | 41 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,564 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 29.7 | | Yes | 30 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,304 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 19.4 | | Yes | 19 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,491 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 11.7 | | 100.0 | % | 12 | 34 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,794 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 6.1 | | 99.9 | | 6 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,924 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 2.6 | | 99.3 | | 3 | 15 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,441 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.9 | | 97.4 | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,040 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 91.8 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,719 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 79.6 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,565 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 59.4 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 96,458 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 34.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 108,203 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 14.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 117,922 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 4.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 127,440 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 132,986 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 136,440 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 137,945 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 136,718 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.0 | | 132,640 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | | 125,991 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14.1 | | 116,065 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30.8 | | 105,323 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 51.9 | | 94,618 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 71.3 | | 81,921 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 85.2 | | 69,414 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 93.5 | | 58,361 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 15 | 97.5 | | 47,469 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 99.2 | | 37,483 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 35 | 99.7 | | 29,172 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 46 | 100.0 | | 22,038 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 57 | 100.0 | | 16,075 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | 100.0 | | 11,587 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | Yes | 8,110 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 17 | 82 | Yes | 5,440 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 86 | Yes | 3,731 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 90 | Yes | 2,349 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 1,455 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 95 | Yes | 862 | * | 29 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 496 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 267 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 133 | * | 14 | -26 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 433 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.0 | % | 22.1 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19.3 | % | 2,401,920 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |