Gremio Football Porto Alegrense Title ChancesLost to America-MG 0-1, title odds down 1.4 to 2.4% 17 points 5-2-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | -1.5 | | -8.7 | | +0.8 | | -0.8 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.6 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.4 | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.5 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.5 | | | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Gremio vs Coritiba | +0.9-0.6-1.1 | | +6.8-4.1-8.4 | | -1.4+0.6+2.0 | | +0.7-0.4-0.9 | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.3-0.2 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | -0.4+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | *+0.0+0.0-0.1 | | -0.1+0.5-0.2 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | | | -0.5+0.4+0.5 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | +0.2+0.4-0.4 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.5+0.4+0.4 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.5+0.3-0.5 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | -98 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 997 | * | 83 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.2 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 131 | * | 82 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.4 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 266 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 97.6 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 458 | * | 80 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 96.0 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 910 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 95.6 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,403 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 92.4 | | Yes | 92 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,314 | * | 77 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 89.1 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,755 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 83.5 | | Yes | 84 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,935 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 79.1 | | Yes | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,058 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 71.7 | | Yes | 72 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,272 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 63.3 | | Yes | 63 | 32 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,518 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 55.2 | | Yes | 55 | 38 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,572 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 45.8 | | Yes | 46 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,931 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 36.1 | | Yes | 36 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,286 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 27.2 | | Yes | 27 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,220 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 19.1 | | Yes | 19 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 88,325 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 12.4 | | 100.0 | % | 12 | 38 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112,242 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 7.6 | | 100.0 | | 8 | 31 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 139,901 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 3.9 | | 99.9 | | 4 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 170,060 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 1.8 | | 99.7 | | 2 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 203,241 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.7 | | 99.1 | | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 236,264 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 97.4 | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 271,106 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.1 | | 93.0 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 304,004 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 84.3 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 334,264 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 70.0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 359,782 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 51.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 379,845 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 31.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 392,928 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 15.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 397,631 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 6.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 393,958 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 1.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 381,708 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 363,783 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 339,512 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 309,928 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 276,761 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 241,392 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.7 | | 205,421 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 2.7 | | 172,149 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | | 140,790 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18.2 | | 112,930 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 33.6 | | 87,834 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 51.7 | | 66,259 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 68.8 | | 49,472 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 82.6 | | 35,813 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 91.4 | | 25,267 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 7 | 96.3 | | 17,228 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 12 | 98.6 | | 11,621 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 99.5 | | 7,479 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 29 | 99.8 | | 4,729 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 46 | 38 | Yes | 2,942 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 45 | 46 | Yes | 1,708 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 38 | 56 | Yes | 955 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 31 | 65 | Yes | 518 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 26 | 73 | Yes | 275 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 21 | 77 | Yes | 129 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | Yes | 66 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | Yes | 35 | * | 17 | -27 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 879 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.4 | % | 39.0 | % | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3.4 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |