"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo 2 Fortaleza 0 -0.1
-0.3
-0.1
Sao Paulo 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.3
*-0.1
Internacional 2 Avai 0 -0.4
-0.2
Atletico-MG 4 CSA 0 -0.4
-0.2
Ceara 0 Santos 1 -0.3
*-0.1
Athletico-PR 3 Fluminense 0 -0.3
-0.1
Chapecoense 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.1
Week of 6/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CSA 0 Flamengo 2 *-0.0
-0.6
-0.1
Fluminense 0 Flamengo 0 +0.3
-0.1
Goias 2 Athletico-PR 1 +7.1
-2.1
+0.8
Atletico-MG 1 Sao Paulo 1 +0.4
Cruzeiro 0 Corinthians 0 +0.3
Vasco da Gama 1 Ceara 0 +0.2
+0.1
Gremio 1 Fortaleza 0 +0.2
+0.2
Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 1 +0.1
-0.1
Palmeiras 2 Avai 0 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9928-0-0YesYes100No584
88-90NoYes100No7*
8723-3-2NoYes8317No6*
8623-2-3NoYes964No26*
8522-4-2NoYes100No42*
8422-3-3NoYes955No60*
8321-5-2NoYes982No121*
8221-4-3NoYes964No206*
8121-3-4NoYes9360No378*
8020-5-3NoYes928No642*
7920-4-4NoYes86140No997*
7820-3-5NoYes83170No1,636*
7719-5-4NoYes79210No2,588*
7619-4-5NoYes73261No4,042*
7518-6-4NoYes68311No6,292*
7418-5-5NoYes59392No9,012*
7318-4-6NoYes524440No13,259*
7217-6-5NoYes455060No18,532*
7117-5-6NoYes3754900No25,595*
7017-4-7NoYes29571410No34,422*
6916-6-6NoYes22571920No45,408*
6816-5-7NoYes17552530No59,191*
6715-7-6No100.0%115132500No73,999*
6615-6-7No100.074439910No93,238*
6515-5-8No99.94374314200No112,197*
6414-7-7No99.82284521400No134,357*
6314-6-8No99.21194328710No157,369*
6214-5-9No98.0112383512200No180,624*
6113-7-8No95.307303819400No200,968*
6013-6-9No90.1042138279100No222,149*
5913-5-10No81.502133333153000No238,757*
5812-7-9No68.50172536237100No253,175*
5712-6-10No52.20316333114300No262,165*
5611-8-9No35.10192534227100No266,739*
5511-7-10No20.0004163130154000No265,881*
5411-6-11No9.400182333239200No259,923*
5310-8-10No3.6003142931175100No249,211*
5210-7-11No1.0001620312612300No233,865*
5110-6-12No0.2002102531218100No214,577*
509-8-11No0.0014152929165100No193,073*
499-7-12No0.0001720312612300No170,985*
489-6-13NoNo0021024312292000.0%147,560*
478-8-12NoNo00141428301861000.1124,841*
468-7-13NoNo00161830271330000.4103,054*
458-6-14NoNo0021023312392002.084,324*
447-8-13NoNo014142831185106.266,515*
437-7-14NoNo00161931271230015.351,215*
427-6-15NoNo0021025322271029.938,515*
416-8-14NoNo014163130143047.528,466*
406-7-15NoNo00292435236065.420,437*
396-6-16NoNo00416333213279.914,380*
385-8-15NoNo018273822490.49,807*
375-7-16NoNo004193732795.76,557*
365-6-17NoNo021233391498.24,292*
354-8-16NoNo01628452099.52,728*
344-7-17NoNo0418473199.81,675*
334-6-18NoNo1134640Yes940*
323-8-17NoNo194051Yes519*
313-7-18NoNo43462Yes328*
303-6-19NoNo32869Yes173*
292-8-18NoNo2179Yes70*
282-7-19NoNo3169Yes42*
272-6-20NoNo2278Yes23*
262-5-21NoNo3169Yes13*
15-25NoNo100Yes588*
Total:0.0%43.5%0271112111198765432111001.9%4,713,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship