How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR+2.0-0.6-1.6
+6.9-1.9-5.7
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Corinthians vs Atletico-GO*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Coritiba vs Internacional-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Sport Recife vs Ceara-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia*-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza-1.5-0.6+1.9
-5.7-1.9+6.9
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Bahia vs Coritiba*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Fluminense vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.3*-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife*-0.1+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
83-114YesYes100No1,254*
8225-7-699.7%Yes1000No375*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No566*
8025-5-899.7Yes1000No931*
7924-7-798.7Yes991No1,297*
7824-6-898.7Yes991No1,940*
7723-8-797.4Yes973No2,888*
7623-7-897.3Yes973No4,052*
7523-6-996.1Yes964No5,837*
7422-8-894.4Yes94500No7,803*
7322-7-991.7Yes9280No10,947*
7221-9-888.4Yes88110No14,720*
7121-8-984.5Yes851510No19,579*
7021-7-1077.9Yes782020No25,310*
6920-9-970.7Yes712630No32,498*
6820-8-1062.1Yes6232600No41,533*
6720-7-1151.8Yes523810100No51,432*
6619-9-1041.3Yes414115200No63,288*
6519-8-1130.4100.0%3042215100No76,223*
6419-7-1220.6100.02140289200No90,864*
6318-9-1112.5100.0133433164100No107,835*
6218-8-126.599.862535239200No124,712*
6117-10-112.999.23153130165100No143,214*
6017-9-121.096.918223224103000No161,135*
5917-8-130.391.0031326301972000No178,690*
5816-10-120.078.30151728271551000No195,636*
5716-9-130.057.50028202825134100No211,464*
5616-8-140.033.60002102129231131000No225,294*
5515-10-13No14.20003112228221030000No236,232*
5415-9-14No3.900131123282193000No243,737*
5315-8-15No0.700141224282092000No248,588*
5214-10-14No0.10014122428209200000.0%249,718*
5114-9-15No0.0001413242820820000.0247,582*
5014-8-16NoNo001413252819820000.3239,622*
4913-10-15NoNo00151426281872001.7231,704*
4813-9-16NoNo00161627271761006.8218,623*
4713-8-17NoNo0000271828271441018.7204,174*
4612-10-16NoNo00029213024112037.3186,724*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.3168,518*
4412-8-18NoNo001517313014276.4150,156*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523688.5131,793*
4211-9-18NoNo00141734331295.1113,714*
4111-8-19NoNo0021029402098.296,826*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433099.480,392*
3910-9-19NoNo00214424299.866,214*
389-11-18NoNo0193853100.053,045*
379-10-19NoNo0053164100.042,554*
369-9-20NoNo032473Yes33,058*
359-8-21NoNo012079Yes25,388*
348-10-20NoNo011486Yes19,029*
338-9-21NoNo01090Yes14,129*
328-8-22NoNo0793Yes10,151*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes7,215*
307-9-22NoNo397Yes4,994*
297-8-23NoNo199Yes3,482*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes2,339*
276-9-23NoNo0100Yes1,402*
266-8-24NoNo199Yes993*
20-25NoNo100Yes1,433*
193-10-25NoNo793Yes15*
0-18NoNo100Yes659*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%5,135,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship