How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 10/19 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Fortaleza 0 Gremio 0 -0.2 +2.1 -0.2 Corinthians 1 Cruzeiro 0 -1.7 +0.1 Sao Paulo 1 Avai 0 -0.3 Bahia 0 Ceara 0 -0.6 +0.0 Internacional 0 Vasco da Gama 0 *-0.1 +0.0 Chapecoense 0 Goias 0 -0.2 Atletico-MG 0 Santos 1 -0.5 +0.1 Flamengo 1 Fluminense 0 -1.1 +0.1 Botafogo 0 CSA 0 -0.6 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/26 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza -0.1-0.1+0.2 +10.1+1.1-10.8 -0.7-0.2+0.9 Avai vs Fortaleza -0.1-0.1+0.2 +8.3+1.8-9.4 -0.7-0.2+0.8 Gremio vs Botafogo -0.7-0.1+0.8 +0.1+0.0-0.1 CSA vs Corinthians +1.9-0.4-1.7 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Vasco da Gama vs Gremio +0.2*-0.0-0.2 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG -0.5*-0.1+0.6 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Flamengo vs CSA -1.7-0.4+1.9 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Ceara vs Vasco da Gama +1.7-0.5-1.4 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro -0.9-0.6+1.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Fluminense vs Chapecoense +1.1-0.5-0.8 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Ceara vs Fluminense +0.7-0.7-0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense +0.4-0.2-0.2 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Avai vs Palmeiras +0.3-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 62 11 - 0 - 0 No 96.9 % 2 32 45 18 3 No 547 60 10 - 1 - 0 No 81.1 0 10 31 39 16 3 0 No 666 59 10 - 0 - 1 No 62.9 3 23 37 28 8 1 No 976 58 9 - 2 - 0 No 44.1 1 11 32 36 16 4 0 No 1,977 57 9 - 1 - 1 No 24.5 0 4 20 36 29 9 1 0 No 6,388 56 9 - 0 - 2 No 9.8 0 1 9 29 36 21 4 0 No 8,670 * 55 8 - 2 - 1 No 3.2 0 3 17 36 31 11 1 0 No 17,983 54 8 - 1 - 2 No 0.7 0 1 7 24 38 24 6 1 0 No 33,419 * 53 7 - 3 - 1 No 0.1 0 0 2 13 33 35 15 2 0 0 No 44,986 * 52 7 - 2 - 2 No 0.0 0 0 0 5 22 38 27 7 1 0 No 76,917 * 51 7 - 1 - 3 No No 0 1 10 31 37 17 3 0 0 No 75,015 6 - 4 - 1 No No 0 1 9 30 37 18 4 0 No 34,340 50 6 - 3 - 2 No No 0 0 3 19 38 29 9 1 0 0 No 107,872 7 - 0 - 4 No No 0 0 3 19 38 29 9 1 0 No 32,252 * 49 6 - 2 - 3 No No 0 1 9 29 38 19 4 0 0 No 194,755 * 48 6 - 1 - 4 No No 0 0 3 17 37 31 11 1 0 No 132,564 * 5 - 4 - 2 No No 0 0 2 16 35 32 12 2 0 0 0.0 % 103,074 47 5 - 3 - 3 No No 0 1 7 26 38 22 5 1 0 0.0 213,678 6 - 0 - 5 No No 0 1 7 26 38 23 5 1 0 0.0 55,562 * 46 5 - 2 - 4 No No 0 0 2 15 35 33 13 2 0 0 0.1 251,271 4 - 5 - 2 No No 0 0 2 13 33 34 15 3 0 0 0.2 66,246 * 45 4 - 4 - 3 No No 0 0 5 22 37 26 7 1 0 0.9 176,717 * 5 - 1 - 5 No No 0 0 1 6 24 37 24 7 1 0 0.8 157,920 44 4 - 3 - 4 No No 0 0 2 12 32 35 16 3 0 0 3.2 268,727 5 - 0 - 6 No No 0 0 2 13 32 35 16 3 0 3.0 41,306 3 - 6 - 2 No No 0 1 11 31 37 17 3 0 3.4 27,881 * 43 4 - 2 - 5 No No 0 0 5 21 37 28 8 1 0 9.2 252,093 3 - 5 - 3 No No 0 0 4 19 37 29 9 1 0 10.0 88,094 * 42 3 - 4 - 4 No No 0 1 10 30 37 19 3 0 21.9 178,859 * 4 - 1 - 6 No No 0 0 1 10 31 37 18 3 0 20.8 131,424 41 3 - 3 - 5 No No 0 0 4 19 38 31 8 0 0 38.9 214,455 4 - 0 - 7 No No 0 0 4 19 38 30 8 0 38.2 29,244 2 - 6 - 3 No No 0 3 17 39 31 9 0 40.4 27,937 * 40 3 - 2 - 6 No No 0 1 10 31 40 17 1 0 58.3 168,018 2 - 5 - 4 No No 0 1 9 30 41 18 1 0 60.4 66,881 * 39 2 - 4 - 5 No No 0 0 3 19 43 31 3 0 77.1 102,547 3 - 1 - 7 No No 0 0 3 20 43 30 3 0 76.3 79,950 * 38 2 - 3 - 6 No No 0 1 10 38 44 7 0 88.7 107,159 3 - 0 - 8 No No 0 1 10 37 44 8 0 89.3 28,674 * 37 2 - 2 - 7 No No 0 0 4 28 54 13 1 95.3 71,988 1 - 5 - 5 No No 0 4 27 52 16 1 96.1 26,584 * 36 1 - 4 - 6 No No 0 1 17 55 25 2 98.7 34,464 2 - 1 - 8 No No 0 1 17 57 23 2 98.7 29,400 * 35 1 - 3 - 7 No No 0 0 9 51 35 5 99.6 38,258 * 34 1 - 2 - 8 No No 0 4 43 44 9 99.9 22,413 * 33 1 - 1 - 9 No No 0 1 32 50 17 100.0 11,036 * 32 0 - 3 - 8 No No 0 21 53 26 Yes 4,691 * 31 0 - 2 - 9 No No 0 15 50 35 Yes 2,049 30 0 - 1 - 10 No No 9 44 47 Yes 612 29 0 - 0 - 11 No No 4 34 63 Yes 581 Total: No 0.2 % 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 10 12 14 15 14 12 8 2 0 22.2 % 3,849,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship