Fortaleza Esporte Clube Title Chances 50/50Beat Cruzeiro 1-0, title odds up 1.8 to 4.3% 17 points 4-5-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | +1.2 | | +7.5 | | -4.9 | | +1.1 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.2 | | *-0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.4 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | *-0.1 | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | -0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +2.1-0.7-1.6 | | +8.7-2.2-7.3 | | -4.0+0.6+3.6 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | -0.2+0.2*+0.0 | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | | *+0.0+0.2-0.2 | | +0.3*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.1+0.1*+0.1 | | -0.3+0.4*+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.1+0.2 | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | -0.5+0.2+0.3 | | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | *+0.1+0.3-0.3 | | | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.3+0.3*+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | +0.2-0.2-0.1 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | *+0.1+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | | | *-0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | -98 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 594 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.5 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 218 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 405 | * | 77 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 98.3 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 658 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 998 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 96.4 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,580 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 93.3 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,416 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 91.1 | | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,627 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 87.0 | | Yes | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,312 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 82.3 | | Yes | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,450 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 75.0 | | Yes | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,242 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 67.3 | | Yes | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,242 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 57.9 | | Yes | 58 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,514 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 46.7 | | Yes | 47 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,314 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 36.2 | | Yes | 36 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,552 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 25.4 | | 100.0 | % | 25 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,267 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 16.2 | | 100.0 | | 16 | 39 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,919 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 9.2 | | 100.0 | | 9 | 31 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,205 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 4.4 | | 99.8 | | 4 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73,092 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 1.7 | | 98.9 | | 2 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,888 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.5 | | 96.1 | | 1 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,054 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.1 | | 88.5 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 108,651 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 73.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,153 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 50.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 126,150 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 26.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 132,962 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 10.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 136,845 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 2.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 138,062 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 137,106 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 132,148 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 125,627 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.3 | | 116,065 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 1.7 | | 105,796 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 7.0 | | 93,965 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19.1 | | 82,357 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 37.8 | | 69,861 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 58.9 | | 58,042 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 77.1 | | 47,034 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 88.7 | | 37,518 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 33 | 10 | 95.6 | | 29,315 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 18 | 98.2 | | 21,990 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 44 | 28 | 99.4 | | 16,061 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 40 | 99.9 | | 11,536 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 51 | 100.0 | | 8,036 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | Yes | 5,574 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | Yes | 3,600 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 78 | Yes | 2,246 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 84 | Yes | 1,439 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 88 | Yes | 874 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 483 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 278 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 160 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 73 | * | 17 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 366 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4.3 | % | 34.5 | % | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10.6 | % | 2,401,920 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |