Fortaleza Esporte Clube Title ChancesBeat Cruzeiro 1-0, title odds up 1.4 to 1.9% 17 points 4-5-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | +0.3 | | +6.6 | | -3.0 | | +1.0 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.5 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.5 | | +0.5 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +1.0-0.3-0.8 | | +8.8-2.1-7.4 | | -1.9+0.3+1.7 | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | -0.3*+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | | | -0.6+0.4+0.5 | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.6+0.4+0.7 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | +0.2+0.4-0.4 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.5+0.3-0.5 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | -98 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 910 | * | 84 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 95.7 | % | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 47 | * | 83 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106 | * | 82 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 96.2 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 210 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.7 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 374 | * | 80 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 93.8 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 659 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 93.6 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,065 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 88.9 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,759 | * | 77 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 86.5 | | Yes | 86 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,115 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 81.8 | | Yes | 82 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,646 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 76.1 | | Yes | 76 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,237 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 68.9 | | Yes | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,807 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 60.9 | | Yes | 61 | 34 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,768 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 52.8 | | Yes | 53 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,551 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 43.4 | | Yes | 43 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,715 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 33.7 | | Yes | 34 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,440 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 25.1 | | Yes | 25 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,520 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 17.2 | | Yes | 17 | 43 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,882 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 11.1 | | 100.0 | % | 11 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 98,337 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 6.3 | | 100.0 | | 6 | 29 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 124,009 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 3.2 | | 99.9 | | 3 | 20 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,401 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 1.4 | | 99.7 | | 1 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 183,844 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.5 | | 98.8 | | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 217,578 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 96.3 | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 251,538 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 90.8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 285,083 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 80.4 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 317,897 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 64.5 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 344,930 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 44.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 369,533 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 26.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 386,441 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 12.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 394,930 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 4.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 397,401 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 1.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 390,275 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 375,793 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 353,169 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 326,398 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 294,992 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 262,043 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.0 | | 226,393 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.7 | | 191,439 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 | | 158,616 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21.3 | | 128,549 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 37.4 | | 101,546 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 55.6 | | 77,864 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 71.5 | | 58,557 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 83.8 | | 43,017 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40 | 22 | 3 | 92.3 | | 31,053 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 7 | 96.6 | | 21,349 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 12 | 98.7 | | 14,272 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 46 | 18 | 99.5 | | 9,487 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 47 | 27 | 99.8 | | 6,027 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 37 | 100.0 | | 3,782 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 45 | 100.0 | | 2,157 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 55 | 99.9 | | 1,233 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 33 | 62 | Yes | 739 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 25 | 73 | Yes | 423 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 79 | Yes | 210 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | Yes | 105 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | Yes | 52 | * | 27 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 80 | Yes | 20 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | Yes | 9 | * | 17 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 858 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.9 | % | 34.4 | % | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4.4 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |