Fluminense Football Club Title Chances 50/50Tied Atletico-MG 1-1, title odds down 0.2 to 5.9% 18 points 5-3-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | -0.9 | | -2.4 | | +0.5 | | -0.3 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.4 | | | | +0.2 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.2 | | *-0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | *-0.1 | | | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | *+0.1 | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense vs Bahia | +2.5-0.8-2.0 | | +8.9-2.4-7.4 | | -3.3+0.4+3.0 | | +1.1-0.3-1.0 | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | *+0.1+0.3-0.3 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | *+0.1+0.3-0.3 | | -0.1+0.3*-0.0 | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.4-0.2 | | | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | -99 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 603 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 98.7 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 230 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 378 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 615 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.0 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,035 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 96.8 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,611 | * | 75 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 96.2 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,462 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 93.9 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,619 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 92.0 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,255 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 87.2 | | Yes | 87 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,367 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 82.8 | | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,562 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 77.0 | | Yes | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,509 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 68.9 | | Yes | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,351 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 59.3 | | Yes | 59 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,383 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 49.6 | | Yes | 50 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,595 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 37.9 | | Yes | 38 | 43 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,505 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 27.4 | | Yes | 27 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,175 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 18.1 | | 100.0 | % | 18 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,666 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 10.3 | | 100.0 | | 10 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,994 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 5.1 | | 99.8 | | 5 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,564 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 2.1 | | 99.2 | | 2 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,885 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.7 | | 96.9 | | 1 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 108,026 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.2 | | 90.8 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,789 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 77.2 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 126,083 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 56.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 132,841 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 31.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 137,136 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 12.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 138,019 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 3.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 136,641 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.6 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 131,740 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 125,713 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 116,192 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 106,012 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.3 | | 94,137 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 5.6 | | 82,338 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16.4 | | 69,947 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34.3 | | 57,804 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 55.6 | | 47,577 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 74.6 | | 37,431 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 22 | 4 | 87.5 | | 29,269 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 9 | 94.7 | | 22,010 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 97.9 | | 16,228 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 43 | 28 | 99.5 | | 11,427 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 38 | 99.9 | | 8,125 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 51 | 100.0 | | 5,580 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | Yes | 3,642 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | Yes | 2,274 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 77 | Yes | 1,401 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 85 | Yes | 825 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 89 | Yes | 502 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | Yes | 265 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | 149 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 70 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 37 | * | 18 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 326 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.9 | % | 40.9 | % | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7.9 | % | 2,401,920 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |