Fluminense Football Club Title ChancesTied Atletico-MG 1-1, title odds up 0.3 to 3.5% 18 points 5-3-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.5 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | -0.5 | | -2.3 | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.8 | | +0.1 | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.6 | | | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense vs Bahia | +1.4-0.7-1.4 | | +7.8-3.6-8.5 | | -1.1+0.3+1.4 | | +0.8-0.3-0.9 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +0.1+0.3-0.3 | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.4-0.2 | | | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2+0.5-0.5 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.7+0.4+0.8 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.6+0.3-0.5 | | | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.5+0.5+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | -99 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,043 | * | 84 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.0 | % | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 201 | * | 83 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 372 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 97.3 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 592 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 96.2 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,096 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 95.8 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,748 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 93.0 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,863 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 90.2 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,525 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 86.4 | | Yes | 86 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,867 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 82.2 | | Yes | 82 | 17 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,481 | * | 75 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 76.4 | | Yes | 76 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,678 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 69.8 | | Yes | 70 | 28 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,550 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 62.3 | | Yes | 62 | 33 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,200 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 53.5 | | Yes | 54 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,919 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 44.3 | | Yes | 44 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,757 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 35.1 | | Yes | 35 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 75,643 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 26.6 | | Yes | 27 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,938 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 18.6 | | Yes | 19 | 44 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 123,123 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 11.9 | | 100.0 | % | 12 | 38 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,994 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 7.0 | | 100.0 | | 7 | 31 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 182,979 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 3.8 | | 99.9 | | 4 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 218,174 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 1.7 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 251,292 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.7 | | 99.1 | | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 284,968 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.2 | | 97.3 | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 317,353 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 92.9 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 345,137 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 84.1 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 369,573 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 69.6 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 384,053 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 50.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 394,434 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 31.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 395,806 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | 15.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 389,548 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 5.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 375,546 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 1.7 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 355,313 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 326,382 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 296,476 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 261,892 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 226,356 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 192,226 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.8 | | 158,933 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.1 | | 129,192 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.8 | | 102,102 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19.5 | | 78,730 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35.5 | | 59,689 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 53.1 | | 43,494 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 70.4 | | 31,603 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 83.2 | | 21,983 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 91.6 | | 14,969 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 31 | 6 | 96.3 | | 9,927 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 12 | 98.6 | | 6,307 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 30 | 44 | 19 | 99.4 | | 3,955 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 49 | 26 | 99.7 | | 2,354 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 46 | 36 | 99.9 | | 1,390 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 45 | 45 | Yes | 738 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 37 | 58 | Yes | 410 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 34 | 64 | Yes | 229 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 26 | 72 | Yes | 111 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | 72 | Yes | 54 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 79 | Yes | 19 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | Yes | 12 | * | 18 | -27 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 861 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.5 | % | 46.5 | % | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |