"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 1 Corinthians 0 +0.1
Sao Paulo 0 Santos 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.1-0.1-0.1
+16.6-3.6-17.8
No-0.0+0.0
+0.8-0.2-0.8
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro+1.4+0.2-2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Avai vs Gremio+0.4+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Atletico-PR vs Chapecoense-1.1+1.2+0.5
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo-0.6+1.1-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Fluminense vs Bahia*+0.0+0.6-0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Flamengo-0.1-0.1+0.2
-11.2-2.3+15.8
+0.0-0.0No
-0.6-0.1+0.9
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro+0.1-0.1-0.1
+16.0-3.3-14.7
No-0.0+0.0
+0.8-0.2-0.8
Atletico-PR vs Corinthians+0.1+0.0-0.1
-2.5+0.4+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Santos vs Atletico-MG+1.3+0.4-2.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Vasco da Gama+2.4+0.6-4.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Gremio+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Sport Recife vs Botafogo+1.7+0.7-1.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria-3.1+1.8+3.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-1.5+1.1+1.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-1.2+0.9+1.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-PR-0.5+1.3-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Sport Recife-0.8+0.4+0.6
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense+0.5+0.4-0.8
Avai vs Bahia+0.6+0.3-0.7
Bahia vs Ponte Preta-0.6+0.4+0.5
Fluminense vs Coritiba-0.5+0.3+0.4
Atletico-GO vs Sao Paulo+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
708-0-052.5%Yes534350No5,254
687-1-017.7Yes18512740No20,655
677-0-17.8Yes841401110No32,909
666-2-02.3Yes227452230No47,036
656-1-10.6Yes1124037910No149,699
646-0-20.1Yes0427462120No119,746
5-3-00.1Yes0629451920No60,921
635-2-10.0100.0%01144234800No291,749
625-1-20.0100.0005314518200No462,771
4-4-0No100.00633431610No49,267
614-3-1No99.90218443150No314,943
5-0-3No99.90118463050No244,505
604-2-2No99.200734431410No747,116
3-5-0No99.30083642131No25,571
594-1-3No96.703224626300No785,042
3-4-1No96.90322462630No202,166
583-3-2No90.301103941910No639,512
4-0-4No91.601124138800No309,939
2-6-0No91.5111404080No8,368
573-2-3No75.5003254721300No1,006,870
2-5-1No76.303254721300No78,114
563-1-4No57.6011443348100No789,689
2-4-2No56.0011243359100No306,692
1-7-0No60.1114463270No1,517
552-3-3No33.6004294320400No642,300
3-0-5No39.3006334216300No247,281
1-6-1No34.6004304319300No16,672
542-2-4No15.40114393311200No754,439
1-5-2No15.10114383312200No78,248
0-8-0No21.5120412871No135
532-1-5No6.3006283822510No470,378
1-4-3No5.3005253924610No203,919
0-7-1No5.40527382461No1,530
521-3-4No1.20112323516300No318,194
2-0-6No2.00216353213200No121,032
0-6-2No1.1112323417400No8,470
511-2-5No0.200418343012200No297,691
0-5-3No0.10317333113200No25,957
501-1-6No0.00182535237100No153,825
0-4-4No0.00162235269100No50,443
490-3-5NoNo01926362161000.0%62,231
1-0-7NoNo021229331850000.033,657
480-2-6NoNo021129341851000.048,223
470-1-7NoNo03153131154000.521,059
460-0-8NoNo00418323012303.25,225
Total:0.1%61.7%012612192116106321000000.0%10,260,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship