Cruzeiro Esporte Clube Title Chances 50/50Lost to Fortaleza 0-1, title odds down 0.7 to 2% 14 points 4-2-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | -1.1 | | -6.4 | | +4.2 | | -1.0 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.2 | | | | +0.3 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.4 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | -0.2 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | -0.2 | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | +1.1-0.4-0.9 | | +7.1-2.1-5.8 | | -6.0+1.3+5.2 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.3+0.2*+0.1 | | -0.3*-0.1+0.3 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | -0.2-0.3+0.4 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.3-0.3*-0.1 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.1+0.2 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.2-0.3*-0.0 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | | | *-0.0-0.2+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 77 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 577 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 98.5 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 268 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 96.8 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 375 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 94.9 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 626 | * | 73 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 92.6 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,010 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 89.3 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,602 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 85.9 | | Yes | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,376 | * | 70 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 78.5 | | Yes | 79 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,657 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 71.5 | | Yes | 72 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,291 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 62.6 | | Yes | 63 | 32 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,311 | * | 67 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 52.2 | | Yes | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,620 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 41.3 | | Yes | 41 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,707 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 30.2 | | Yes | 30 | 44 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,594 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 20.1 | | Yes | 20 | 41 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,300 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 12.1 | | 100.0 | % | 12 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,588 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 6.3 | | 99.9 | | 6 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,216 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 2.7 | | 99.4 | | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,745 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.8 | | 97.5 | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,645 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 92.0 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,825 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 80.2 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,639 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 59.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 96,337 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 35.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 108,072 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 15.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 117,752 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 4.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 126,332 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 132,648 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 136,884 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 138,507 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 136,712 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 132,169 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | | 125,442 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13.7 | | 116,747 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30.0 | | 105,956 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 50.7 | | 94,606 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 70.5 | | 82,218 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 84.9 | | 69,985 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 93.4 | | 57,891 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 97.4 | | 47,230 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 99.2 | | 37,451 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 35 | 99.8 | | 29,036 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 47 | 99.9 | | 21,875 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 58 | 100.0 | | 16,156 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 68 | Yes | 11,691 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | Yes | 7,962 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 84 | Yes | 5,652 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 3,647 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 2,332 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 1,373 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 893 | * | 29 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 502 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 282 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 162 | * | 14 | -26 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 446 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.0 | % | 22.2 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19.1 | % | 2,401,920 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |