Cruzeiro Esporte Clube Title ChancesLost to Fortaleza 0-1, title odds down 0.3 to 0.4% 14 points 4-2-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | -0.3 | | -5.8 | | +2.4 | | -0.8 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.6 | | +0.4 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | +5.8-1.4-4.3 | | -5.0+0.8+4.0 | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.5*-0.0-0.3 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.4+0.2+0.5 | | -0.2-0.1+0.5 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | -0.3-0.1+0.5 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | +0.2-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.2-0.1+0.4 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 82 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 867 | * | 81 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 95.0 | % | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20 | * | 80 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 95.7 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 95.6 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68 | * | 78 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 91.9 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 87.7 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 203 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 86.4 | | Yes | 86 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 367 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 82.8 | | Yes | 83 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 667 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 75.6 | | Yes | 76 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,101 | * | 73 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 68.2 | | Yes | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,836 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 60.5 | | Yes | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,971 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 50.3 | | Yes | 50 | 41 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,638 | * | 70 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 40.5 | | Yes | 40 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,041 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 31.1 | | Yes | 31 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,589 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 21.9 | | Yes | 22 | 44 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,653 | * | 67 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 14.7 | | 100.0 | % | 15 | 40 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,421 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 8.6 | | 100.0 | | 9 | 33 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,223 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 4.6 | | 99.9 | | 5 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,845 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 2.3 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,643 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.9 | | 99.2 | | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 75,006 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.3 | | 97.4 | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,913 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 93.2 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122,321 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 84.3 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,619 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 69.8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 182,036 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 50.4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 215,567 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 30.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 249,983 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 15.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 285,664 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 5.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 316,647 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 1.6 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 345,288 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 370,566 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 387,947 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 398,367 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 399,888 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 392,812 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 379,160 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 2.4 | | 358,160 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | | 329,746 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16.4 | | 298,401 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30.6 | | 262,767 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 48.1 | | 227,735 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 65.2 | | 192,240 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 79.3 | | 158,768 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 89.2 | | 127,127 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 5 | 95.0 | | 99,806 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 98.0 | | 76,772 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 99.2 | | 57,102 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 47 | 24 | 99.8 | | 41,602 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 34 | 99.9 | | 29,288 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 100.0 | | 19,911 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 53 | 100.0 | | 13,362 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 33 | 63 | Yes | 8,659 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 27 | 71 | Yes | 5,418 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 78 | Yes | 3,239 | * | 29 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 85 | Yes | 1,925 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 1,068 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 92 | Yes | 569 | * | 26 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 294 | * | 25 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 131 | * | 24 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 82 | * | 14 | -23 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 906 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 14.4 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14.4 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |