"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 +0.1
+1.4
-8.6
+0.8
Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 +0.6
Gremio 0 America-MG 1 +0.5
Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 *+0.1
Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 +0.5
Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 -0.2
Santos 0 Corinthians 2 +0.2
Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 *+0.1
Vasco 0 Goias 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Coritiba-0.1-0.1+0.1
-1.7-0.7+2.1
+7.5+2.4-9.0
-0.7-0.3+0.9
Bragantino vs Goias-0.1+0.1*+0.0
*-0.1-0.2+0.2
Vasco vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.3*-0.1
America-MG vs Internacional+0.3-0.3*-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo+0.3-0.2-0.2
Santos vs Flamengo+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Fluminense vs Bahia-0.3-0.3+0.5
Athletico-PR vs Corinthians-0.2-0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coritiba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
74-88YesYes100No314*
7321-3-393.3%Yes937No30*
7221-2-486.7Yes8713No45*
7120-4-383.3Yes8317No66*
7020-3-480.2Yes80182No126*
6919-5-367.6Yes68311No210*
6819-4-460.1Yes60337No361*
6719-3-555.8Yes563761No602*
6618-5-443.4Yes4341142No954*
6518-4-531.5Yes32432140No1,574*
6417-6-422.1100.0%2241279100No2,342*
6317-5-512.7Yes1335331540No3,524*
6217-4-66.199.96263623810No5,197*
6116-6-52.999.23163230154100No7,533*
6016-5-61.197.5182432249200No10,548*
5916-4-70.392.603142829186100No14,524*
5815-6-60.080.9016183027144100No19,498*
5715-5-70.059.80018203025123000No25,207*
5614-7-6No35.100210232923103000No32,894*
5514-6-7No14.9003112329219200No41,331*
5414-5-8No4.100014122429209200No50,842*
5313-7-7No0.60014122429208200No61,544*
5213-6-8No0.1001413252819820000.0%72,604*
5113-5-9No0.0001413252919820000.084,709*
5012-7-8NoNo00141425281972000.296,642*
4912-6-9NoNo001514262818710001.5107,768*
4812-5-10NoNo00151627281651006.3117,837*
4711-7-9NoNo00171829271440018.2126,626*
4611-6-10NoNo0029223124102036.9133,751*
4511-5-11NoNo0003122632206159.1136,621*
4410-7-10NoNo0001517313014277.5137,924*
4310-6-11NoNo0029253624589.4137,030*
429-8-10NoNo0041635341195.8132,205*
419-7-11NoNo001929412098.5125,039*
409-6-12NoNo00421443099.5116,485*
398-8-11NoNo00214434299.9105,571*
388-7-12NoNo0183853100.094,504*
378-6-13NoNo00053264100.082,369*
367-8-12NoNo0022573100.069,926*
357-7-13NoNo011980Yes58,294*
347-6-14NoNo011486Yes47,541*
336-8-13NoNo01090Yes37,163*
326-7-14NoNo0793Yes29,205*
316-6-15NoNo0496Yes21,851*
305-8-14NoNo0397Yes16,235*
295-7-15NoNo0298Yes11,673*
285-6-16NoNo199Yes7,989*
274-8-15NoNo199Yes5,546*
264-7-16NoNo0100Yes3,647*
254-6-17NoNo0100Yes2,273*
244-5-18NoNo0100Yes1,444*
21-23NoNo100Yes1,609*
202-7-18NoNo199Yes140*
7-19NoNo100Yes433*
Total:0.2%4.1%0011112223345568911152156.4%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship