How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos 0 Corinthians 2 +0.3
+4.1
-8.3
+1.1
Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 +0.5
Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 *+0.1
+0.7
Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 -0.1
-0.2
Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 *+0.1
Gremio 0 America-MG 1 +0.1
+0.6
Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 +0.1
+0.5
Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 *+0.1
Vasco 0 Goias 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR vs Corinthians-0.5-0.2+0.6
-4.4-1.7+5.4
+6.6+1.7-7.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Palmeiras vs Botafogo*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Santos vs Flamengo+0.0*+0.0-0.1
*+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Fluminense vs Bahia-0.2+0.2*+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Vasco vs Cuiaba+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Gremio vs Coritiba-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3-0.3+0.5
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
America-MG vs Internacional+0.2-0.2*-0.1
Bragantino vs Goias*-0.1-0.3+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Corinthians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
77-93YesYes100No383*
7620-4-398.8%Yes991No81*
7520-3-496.9Yes973No130*
7419-5-395.8Yes964No238*
7319-4-493.5Yes9460No401*
7219-3-587.9Yes88111No644*
7118-5-483.7Yes84151No994*
7018-4-577.7Yes782120No1,604*
6917-6-470.3Yes702630No2,404*
6817-5-559.4Yes5934600No3,611*
6717-4-649.7Yes504091No5,364*
6616-6-539.7Yes404414200No7,437*
6516-5-628.5Yes284323500No10,486*
6416-4-718.7100.0%19413010200No14,385*
6315-6-611.1100.011343417410No19,305*
6215-5-75.799.862435259200No25,480*
6114-7-62.399.22143131165100No32,939*
6014-6-70.797.21722322511200No41,197*
5914-5-80.191.103122631207100No50,576*
5813-7-70.078.7015162928155100No61,522*
5713-6-80.057.70017202925134100No72,391*
5613-5-90.033.000029222923113000No84,886*
5512-7-8No13.600311232922103000No96,793*
5412-6-9No3.800131124292192000No108,132*
5312-5-10No0.700141224292082000No118,062*
5211-7-9No0.10014132529198200No126,177*
5111-6-10No0.000141325281972000.0%133,541*
5011-5-11NoNo00151426281871000.2137,686*
4910-7-10NoNo00151527281761001.2137,843*
4810-6-11NoNo0016172827154105.2136,655*
479-8-10NoNo00272030261230015.8132,174*
469-7-11NoNo00021023312392033.3126,221*
459-6-12NoNo0014142831185054.5115,925*
448-8-11NoNo0001619322811273.6105,809*
438-7-12NoNo00211273521486.894,671*
428-6-13NoNo0015193631994.481,822*
417-8-12NoNo0021131391697.869,615*
407-7-13NoNo01624442699.357,898*
397-6-14NoNo00317433799.847,411*
386-8-13NoNo0110404999.937,395*
376-7-14NoNo0063460100.029,088*
366-6-15NoNo0032769100.021,772*
355-8-14NoNo012177Yes16,095*
345-7-15NoNo011683Yes11,495*
335-6-16NoNo01188Yes8,212*
324-8-15NoNo0892Yes5,408*
314-7-16NoNo0595Yes3,693*
304-6-17NoNo0397Yes2,295*
294-5-18NoNo298Yes1,457*
283-7-17NoNo298Yes873*
273-6-18NoNo199Yes459*
263-5-19NoNo199Yes238*
12-25NoNo100Yes547*
Total:1.0%14.5%1223344455666777777628.5%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship