How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 6/18 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 +5.9 +4.0 -0.0 +0.3 Gremio 2 Coritiba 0 -2.4 *+0.1 Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 -2.1 -0.9 -0.1 Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +1.6 +0.1 Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 +0.5 +0.2 Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.4 -0.4 Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 +0.2 +0.1 Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.2 -0.2 Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 *+0.1 +0.2 Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 *+0.1 +0.1 Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1 *-0.1 Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.2 Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.2 Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 +0.1 Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0 *-0.1 If winner is:HomeEmpateAway Week of 6/24 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Gremio vs Corinthians -10.3-0.7+11.1 -2.7-0.5+3.1 -0.3-0.0+0.3 Santos vs Sport Recife -0.6+0.3+0.6 -0.3+0.2+0.3 Cruzeiro vs Coritiba +0.3+0.2-0.4 +0.2+0.2-0.3 Botafogo vs Avai -0.3+0.2+0.4 -0.3+0.2+0.3 Sao Paulo vs Fluminense +0.1+0.1-0.2 +0.2+0.1-0.2 Bahia vs Flamengo +0.1+0.1-0.2 +0.1+0.2-0.2 Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG -0.1*+0.1+0.1 -0.2+0.1+0.1 Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras -0.1+0.2*+0.0 -0.1+0.2*+0.0 Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO -0.2+0.1+0.1 Atletico-PR vs Vitoria -0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Corinthians finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - L - E wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 97 -110 Yes Yes 100 No 1,956 * 96 23 - 2 - 4 99.9 % Yes 100 0 No 741 * 95 23 - 3 - 3 Yes Yes 100 No 1,390 * 94 22 - 2 - 5 100.0 Yes 100 0 No 2,333 * 93 22 - 3 - 4 99.9 Yes 100 0 No 3,811 * 92 22 - 4 - 3 99.9 Yes 100 0 No 6,155 * 91 21 - 3 - 5 99.9 Yes 100 0 No 9,169 * 90 21 - 4 - 4 99.8 Yes 100 0 No 14,114 * 89 20 - 3 - 6 99.8 Yes 100 0 No 20,350 * 88 20 - 4 - 5 99.6 Yes 100 0 No 29,495 * 87 20 - 5 - 4 99.4 Yes 99 1 No 41,054 * 86 19 - 4 - 6 99.2 Yes 99 1 No 56,447 * 85 19 - 5 - 5 98.7 Yes 99 1 0 No 74,926 * 84 18 - 4 - 7 98.1 Yes 98 2 No 97,249 * 83 18 - 5 - 6 97.3 Yes 97 3 0 No 124,175 * 82 18 - 6 - 5 96.1 Yes 96 4 0 No 155,577 * 81 17 - 5 - 7 94.5 Yes 95 5 0 No 190,063 * 80 17 - 6 - 6 92.6 Yes 93 7 0 0 No 227,137 * 79 17 - 7 - 5 89.9 Yes 90 10 0 0 No 264,906 * 78 16 - 6 - 7 86.9 Yes 87 13 0 No 304,392 * 77 16 - 7 - 6 83.0 Yes 83 17 0 0 No 341,385 * 76 16 - 8 - 5 78.4 Yes 78 21 0 0 No 377,843 * 75 15 - 7 - 7 73.0 Yes 73 26 1 0 No 407,510 * 74 15 - 8 - 6 66.8 Yes 67 32 1 0 No 431,799 * 73 14 - 7 - 8 59.9 100.0 % 60 37 3 0 0 No 447,413 * 72 14 - 8 - 7 52.2 100.0 52 43 5 0 0 No 456,253 * 71 14 - 9 - 6 44.3 100.0 44 48 7 0 0 No 456,414 * 70 13 - 8 - 8 36.1 100.0 36 52 11 1 0 No 446,157 * 69 13 - 9 - 7 28.3 99.9 28 53 17 2 0 0 No 428,318 * 68 13 - 10 - 6 20.7 99.7 21 52 23 4 0 0 No 404,912 * 67 12 - 9 - 8 14.3 99.2 14 48 30 7 1 0 0 No 374,513 * 66 12 - 10 - 7 9.1 98.0 9 41 36 12 2 0 0 No 339,082 * 65 12 - 11 - 6 5.2 95.4 5 32 39 19 4 0 0 0 No 301,515 * 64 11 - 10 - 8 2.7 90.2 3 23 39 26 8 1 0 0 No 262,756 * 63 11 - 11 - 7 1.2 81.5 1 14 34 32 15 3 0 0 No 226,035 * 62 10 - 10 - 9 0.4 68.4 0 8 26 35 22 8 1 0 0 No 188,476 * 61 10 - 11 - 8 0.1 51.5 0 3 17 31 29 15 4 1 0 0 No 155,902 * 60 10 - 12 - 7 0.0 33.9 0 1 9 24 32 23 9 2 0 0 0 No 125,037 * 59 9 - 11 - 9 0.0 18.6 0 0 4 15 28 29 17 6 1 0 0 No 98,715 * 58 9 - 12 - 8 0.0 8.2 0 0 1 7 20 29 26 13 4 1 0 0 No 76,462 * 57 9 - 13 - 7 No 2.7 0 0 2 10 23 29 22 9 2 0 0 0 No 57,608 * 56 8 - 12 - 9 No 0.7 0 1 4 14 26 29 19 7 2 0 0 No 42,813 * 55 8 - 13 - 8 No 0.1 0 0 1 6 17 27 27 16 5 1 0 0 No 31,177 * 54 8 - 14 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 2 7 20 29 25 13 4 1 0 No 21,865 * 53 7 - 13 - 9 No 0.0 0 0 0 2 9 21 30 23 11 3 0 0 No 15,269 * 52 7 - 14 - 8 No No 0 0 3 12 24 29 20 9 2 0 0 No 10,338 * 51 7 - 15 - 7 No No 0 1 4 13 26 29 19 6 1 0 No 6,988 * 50 6 - 14 - 9 No No 0 1 6 16 28 28 16 5 1 0 0.1 % 4,509 * 49 6 - 15 - 8 No No 2 8 19 29 25 13 3 1 0 0.6 2,841 * 48 6 - 16 - 7 No No 0 3 9 22 31 22 10 3 0 3.2 1,747 * 47 5 - 15 - 9 No No 1 4 14 25 32 17 6 1 7.7 1,053 * 46 5 - 16 - 8 No No 0 2 4 19 31 26 14 3 0 17.7 626 * 45 5 - 17 - 7 No No 2 6 27 32 22 8 2 0 32.7 358 * 44 5 - 18 - 6 No No 4 19 28 30 14 5 48.5 196 * 43 4 - 17 - 8 No No 1 12 19 31 25 12 68.0 103 * 42 4 - 18 - 7 No No 7 14 32 27 14 5 78.6 56 * 41 3 - 17 - 9 No No 17 33 25 22 3 83.3 36 * 40 4 - 20 - 5 No No 60 30 10 Yes 10 * 39 3 - 19 - 7 No No 9 36 36 18 Yes 11 * 38 4 - 22 - 3 No No 67 33 Yes 3 * 37 2 - 19 - 8 No No 100 Yes 1 36 2 - 20 - 7 No No 100 Yes 1 23 0 - 29 - 0 No No 0 100 Yes 1,014 Total: 47.4 % 91.9 % 47 28 11 6 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship