How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 -1.6
-7.4
+1.1
-0.8
Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 -1.0
-5.7
+1.7
-0.8
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.3
-0.2
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 +0.3
+0.3
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0 -0.3
*+0.1
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +0.2
+0.3
Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.6
-0.1
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 +0.4
+0.1
Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.3
Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.3
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.3
Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 +0.2
+0.1
Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1 -0.1
Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 *+0.1
+0.1
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 *+0.1
+0.1
Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG+0.4-0.2-0.4
+4.6-2.0-4.4
-2.9+0.7+3.2
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Gremio vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.1
Botafogo vs Avai-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Flamengo+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.3*+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
85-100YesYes100No1,060*
8422-2-593.5%Yes937No46*
8322-3-497.8Yes982No90*
8222-4-395.8Yes964No166*
8121-3-590.4Yes9091No281*
8021-4-483.6Yes84160No530*
7921-5-380.4Yes80191No900*
7820-4-576.3Yes762210No1,450*
7720-5-470.7Yes71272No2,369*
7619-4-665.1Yes65323No3,579*
7519-5-556.8Yes573850No5,692*
7419-6-449.2Yes494380No8,664*
7318-5-641.7Yes4246120No12,550*
7218-6-533.4100.0%33491610No18,162*
7118-7-426.199.926502220No25,581*
7017-6-619.699.920492830No35,742*
6917-7-513.999.6144535600No48,450*
6816-6-79.299.1939411010No64,164*
6716-7-65.597.86324516200No83,795*
6616-8-53.395.53244622400No106,341*
6515-7-71.691.221743298100No133,980*
6415-8-60.783.81113735142000No165,000*
6315-9-50.373.0062938215100No198,322*
6214-8-70.159.20320372811200No235,311*
6114-9-60.043.301123133185100No272,776*
6013-8-80.028.1006223426102000No309,938*
5913-9-7No15.502132931186100No346,597*
5813-10-60.07.10016203126123000No380,376*
5712-9-8No2.60021125312182000No408,330*
5612-10-7No0.7015162828165100No432,208*
5512-11-6No0.10018203025123000No447,330*
5411-10-8No0.000031124302192000No454,929*
5311-11-7No0.00014142729186100No452,364*
5211-12-6NoNo001617282715510000.0%443,217*
5110-11-8NoNo000282029251230000.0424,282*
5010-12-7NoNo000310233022920000.0400,365*
4910-13-6NoNo00141326291971000.1368,265*
489-12-8NoNo00151729281541000.7333,052*
479-13-7NoNo0028213025113002.8295,018*
469-14-6NoNo00031125312171008.8256,653*
458-13-8NoNo00151629301640020.2218,083*
448-14-7NoNo0018223225102036.5180,737*
438-15-6NoNo0003132933184055.1147,328*
427-14-8NoNo00162134279171.9116,969*
417-15-7NoNo00312303517384.791,695*
407-16-6NoNo0016233826692.769,313*
396-15-8NoNo0031536351196.851,815*
386-16-7NoNo01931411898.837,304*
376-17-6NoNo00524452699.626,662*
365-16-8NoNo00216453699.818,403*
355-17-7NoNo01114246100.012,616*
345-18-6NoNo007385599.98,041*
334-17-8NoNo043165Yes5,156*
324-18-7NoNo0022673100.03,152*
314-19-6NoNo12079Yes1,901*
303-18-8NoNo01585Yes1,154*
293-19-7NoNo0990Yes615*
283-20-6NoNo991Yes329*
273-21-5NoNo397Yes187*
262-20-7NoNo298Yes97*
252-21-6NoNo397Yes34*
13-24NoNo100Yes1,044*
Total:0.8%15.4%135778887776655432117.6%8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship