Red Bull Bragantino Title ChancesLost to Flamengo 0-1, title odds down 0.3 to 0.4% 14 points 3-5-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.3 | | -5.4 | | +2.1 | | -0.7 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.6 | | +0.4 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | | | +0.4 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.5 | | +0.1 | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Bragantino vs Goias | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +4.6-2.1-4.4 | | -5.0+1.3+5.4 | | +0.9-0.3-0.9 | | Santos vs Flamengo | | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.5-0.1-0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.4+0.2+0.4 | | -0.2-0.1+0.4 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | | | -0.4+0.3+0.3 | | -0.3*-0.1+0.5 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.3*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.2-0.1+0.4 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | | +0.2-0.2*-0.0 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bragantino finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 895 | * | 80 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 97.6 | % | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42 | * | 79 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 94.0 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 67 | * | 78 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 93.4 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 136 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 86.1 | | Yes | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 266 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 84.6 | | Yes | 85 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 474 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 79.6 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 750 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 70.4 | | Yes | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,247 | * | 73 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 63.7 | | Yes | 64 | 32 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,151 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 55.0 | | Yes | 55 | 37 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,312 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 44.5 | | Yes | 44 | 43 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,261 | * | 70 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 35.7 | | Yes | 36 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,894 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 26.1 | | Yes | 26 | 45 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,782 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 18.6 | | Yes | 19 | 43 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,303 | * | 67 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 11.7 | | 100.0 | % | 12 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,488 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 6.6 | | 100.0 | | 7 | 30 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,291 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 3.4 | | 99.9 | | 3 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,354 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 1.5 | | 99.6 | | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,787 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.7 | | 98.7 | | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,941 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.2 | | 96.0 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 102,961 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 90.2 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 128,582 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 79.3 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 157,836 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 62.8 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 190,587 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 43.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 224,001 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 24.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 258,653 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 11.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 291,800 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 3.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 323,594 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.9 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 351,956 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 375,176 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 389,849 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 398,073 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 397,501 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 389,734 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.0 | | 374,082 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.7 | | 350,864 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.9 | | 322,339 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21.3 | | 290,267 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 37.1 | | 254,954 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 54.9 | | 219,082 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 71.2 | | 183,755 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 83.8 | | 151,038 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 92.1 | | 121,113 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 96.5 | | 94,196 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 12 | 98.6 | | 72,277 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 44 | 20 | 99.5 | | 53,765 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 47 | 28 | 99.8 | | 38,732 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 37 | 99.9 | | 26,975 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 48 | 100.0 | | 18,502 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 100.0 | | 12,316 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 31 | 66 | Yes | 7,800 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 25 | 74 | Yes | 4,976 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | Yes | 2,912 | * | 29 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 87 | Yes | 1,693 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 913 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | Yes | 505 | * | 26 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 285 | * | 25 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 118 | * | 24 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 63 | * | 23 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 28 | * | 14 | -22 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 866 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 14.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14.9 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |