How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 1 Corinthians 0 +0.2
Sao Paulo 0 Santos 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo-0.2-0.2+0.3
-10.1-1.4+9.6
-0.7-0.2+0.7
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.0+0.0
+0.8+0.1-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Avai vs Gremio+0.3*+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Chapecoense-0.8+0.8+0.4
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.3+1.1-0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Bahia*-0.0+0.4-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Botafogo-0.2-0.2+0.3
-9.6-3.1+8.3
-0.7-0.3+0.6
Botafogo vs Fluminense+0.3-0.2-0.2
+8.4-3.1-10.2
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Atletico-PR vs Corinthians+0.2+0.1-0.1
-1.8+0.3+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Corinthians vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.1+0.1
Santos vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.1
+1.3+0.5-2.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.9+0.3-1.8
Vitoria vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Gremio vs Flamengo+1.3+0.4-1.9
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Gremio+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria-1.7+1.0+1.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-1.1+0.8+1.3
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.9+0.7+0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.7-0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Sport Recife-0.5+0.3+0.4
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense+0.3+0.3-0.5
Bahia vs Ponte Preta-0.4+0.2+0.4
Avai vs Bahia+0.4+0.2-0.5
Fluminense vs Coritiba-0.3+0.2+0.3
Atletico-GO vs Sao Paulo+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
718-0-044.0%Yes444790No12,259
697-1-018.0Yes18522630No51,428
687-0-19.1Yes94339910No71,238
676-2-03.9Yes432461720No102,668
666-1-11.2Yes118443160No284,714
656-0-20.3Yes093642130No195,225
5-3-00.2Yes0937411200No117,204
645-2-10.1Yes0324472420No482,847
635-1-20.0100.0%01134338500No663,735
4-4-00.0Yes0113433850No83,449
624-3-10.0100.000532491310No456,085
5-0-3No100.00634481200No301,942
614-2-20.0100.000220522420No934,373
3-5-0No100.00220512530No38,116
604-1-3No99.800104637600No846,402
3-4-1No99.70094439800No257,724
593-3-2No98.303314717200No701,248
4-0-4No98.70433461510No286,844
2-6-0No98.60330481710No10,573
583-2-3No94.801184728500No952,166
2-5-1No94.11164631600No87,011
573-1-4No85.9008383913100No642,637
2-4-2No83.007344215200No296,222
1-7-0No85.5063643132No1,757
562-3-3No65.4022142277100No533,146
3-0-5No69.703244324510No172,486
1-6-1No65.60220432861No16,456
552-2-4No45.20110343715300No536,392
1-5-2No41.308333917300No66,207
0-8-0No47.7173936143No109
542-1-5No23.8032037289100No288,886
1-4-3No19.80217373111200No148,784
0-7-1No23.13203728102No1,327
531-3-4No7.40172537237100No200,733
2-0-6No9.3019283621610No64,976
0-6-2No7.4072537236100No6,099
521-2-5No2.00212303417400No160,243
0-5-3No1.60211303419500No16,468
511-1-6No0.300316323114300No70,839
0-4-4No0.200313323315300No27,976
500-3-5No0.00041834301220No29,346
1-0-7No0.00162034281120No13,272
490-2-6NoNo01621352791000.0%19,508
480-1-7NoNo0172337257100.07,349
470-0-8NoNo019293520510.62,491
Total:0.3%83.2%0261424231584210000000.0%10,260,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship