How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.8
+5.8
-2.9
+1.0
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 +0.4
+4.3
-5.1
+1.1
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.4
-0.2
-0.1
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0 -0.3
*+0.1
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +0.1
+0.2
Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.4
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 +0.2
Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.3
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.2
Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 +0.2
+0.1
Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 +0.2
+0.3
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 +0.1
+0.3
Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.1
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 *+0.1
+0.1
Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0 *-0.1
Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Avai+0.8-0.6-1.0
+5.8-3.5-7.1
-1.2+0.4+1.7
+0.7-0.4-0.9
Gremio vs Corinthians-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.2*+0.0
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.8+0.4+0.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Bahia vs Flamengo+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba+0.4+0.4-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.4*+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-102YesYes100No1,123*
8622-2-596.6%Yes973No116*
8522-3-499.5Yes1000No204*
8422-4-396.7Yes973No365*
8321-3-595.8Yes964No692*
8221-4-492.2Yes928No1,214*
8121-5-389.1Yes89110No1,841*
8020-4-585.2Yes85140No3,075*
7920-5-481.2Yes81181No4,797*
7819-4-676.1Yes76231No7,169*
7719-5-570.4Yes702820No10,689*
7619-6-463.3Yes633340No15,785*
7518-5-655.7Yes563960No22,567*
7418-6-548.4Yes484390No31,836*
7317-5-740.6100.0%41471200No43,395*
7217-6-633.0100.033491710No58,586*
7117-7-525.6100.026502320No77,074*
7016-6-718.699.8194830400No98,651*
6916-7-612.999.61344366000No125,240*
6816-8-58.599.0938421110No154,441*
6715-7-75.297.75314516200No186,757*
6615-8-62.895.13234623500No223,337*
6515-9-51.490.311643309100No260,268*
6414-8-70.682.81103636143000No298,527*
6314-9-60.271.9052839226100No335,115*
6213-8-80.157.80319362911200No369,418*
6113-9-70.042.001113034185100No400,597*
6013-10-60.026.7005213426112000No425,474*
5912-9-80.014.50021228321961000No442,403*
5812-10-7No6.5016193127133000No453,284*
5712-11-6No2.30021025312182000No454,732*
5611-10-8No0.6014152829176100No445,326*
5511-11-7No0.10017192926134100No430,532*
5411-12-6No0.0000210233022102000No407,874*
5310-11-8No0.000141325291972000No378,114*
5210-12-7NoNo0015162728166100No344,542*
5110-13-6NoNo00171829261441000.0%306,555*
509-12-8NoNo00029213024113000.0268,263*
499-13-7NoNo000311243021820000.2229,082*
489-14-6NoNo000141427291861001.0192,932*
478-13-8NoNo00016183027144004.0158,495*
468-14-7NoNo0029233124920011.4127,229*
458-15-6NoNo0031327311851024.3100,271*
447-14-8NoNo0016193228122041.877,654*
437-15-7NoNo0002102634216160.958,458*
427-16-6NoNo01518343011176.642,410*
416-15-8NoNo00210283620487.830,611*
406-16-7NoNo015203729894.421,716*
396-17-6NoNo0021335371397.614,632*
385-16-8NoNo01728432199.29,773*
375-17-7NoNo0321453199.86,445*
365-18-6NoNo0114424299.83,956*
354-17-8NoNo184052Yes2,492*
344-18-7NoNo053263Yes1,493*
334-19-6NoNo022671Yes896*
323-18-8NoNo22176Yes522*
313-19-7NoNo11880Yes238*
303-20-6NoNo892Yes132*
292-19-8NoNo1189Yes65*
282-20-7NoNo298Yes42*
272-21-6NoNo694Yes16*
15-26NoNo100Yes1,022*
Total:2.3%29.1%261011109877654432211002.9%8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship