Esporte Clube Bahia Title Chances 50/50Beat Palmeiras 1-0, title odds up 0.5 to 1% 12 points 3-3-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.4 | | +4.2 | | -7.9 | | +1.0 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.2 | | +0.4 | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.6 | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.5-0.2+0.6 | | -4.4-1.7+5.5 | | +6.5+1.8-7.6 | | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.5*-0.1-0.4 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3-0.3-0.2 | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.3-0.2+0.5 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | -0.2-0.2+0.3 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | | | +0.2-0.2*-0.0 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | | | *-0.0-0.2+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 76 | -93 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 448 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 95.8 | % | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 143 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 95.1 | | Yes | 95 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 225 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 93.9 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 346 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 87.8 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 597 | * | 71 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 82.5 | | Yes | 83 | 17 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 944 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 78.5 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,599 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 68.8 | | Yes | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,346 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 62.3 | | Yes | 62 | 32 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,728 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 51.0 | | Yes | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,223 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 40.8 | | Yes | 41 | 42 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,489 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 29.6 | | Yes | 30 | 44 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,606 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 19.4 | | 100.0 | % | 19 | 40 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,349 | * | 63 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 11.5 | | 100.0 | | 12 | 34 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,309 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 5.7 | | 99.9 | | 6 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,363 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 2.4 | | 99.3 | | 2 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,723 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.8 | | 97.4 | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,359 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 91.8 | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,587 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 79.0 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,360 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 58.4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 73,049 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 33.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 85,013 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 13.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 96,649 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 3.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 107,741 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 118,039 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 126,730 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 132,821 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 136,683 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.1 | | 138,140 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 | | 136,043 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15.5 | | 132,471 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32.9 | | 125,707 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 54.0 | | 116,855 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 73.1 | | 105,940 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 86.5 | | 94,454 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 9 | 94.1 | | 82,223 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 97.8 | | 69,636 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 43 | 25 | 99.3 | | 58,331 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 36 | 99.8 | | 47,142 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 48 | 99.9 | | 37,417 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 57 | 100.0 | | 29,033 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | Yes | 22,121 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | Yes | 16,022 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 17 | 82 | Yes | 11,620 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 8,060 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 5,572 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 3,654 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 2,339 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 1,502 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 847 | * | 27 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 475 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 244 | * | 12 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 603 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.0 | % | 14.6 | % | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28.4 | % | 2,401,920 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |