How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 -0.4
-4.1
+3.7
-0.9
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.3
-2.1
+3.3
-0.6
Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 +0.1
+0.2
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0 -0.1
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +0.1
*-0.1
+0.0
Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.2
-0.3
Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.2
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 +0.2
+0.2
Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.1
-0.2
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 +0.1
+0.3
Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 +0.1
+0.1
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.1
*-0.1
Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 *+0.1
+0.2
Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1 *-0.1
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 +0.2
Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0 *+0.1
Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia vs Flamengo+0.1-0.0-0.1
+2.1-0.6-1.5
-7.0+1.3+5.5
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Botafogo vs Avai-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.6
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.2+0.4
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Vitoria-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-97YesYes100No1,015*
8423-1-5NoYes100No1
81-83YesYes100No18*
8022-3-493.8%Yes946No16*
7922-4-381.0Yes81145No42*
7821-3-573.0Yes7327No63*
7721-4-473.8Yes74252No126*
7621-5-365.4Yes65332No266*
7520-4-562.2Yes623350No402*
7420-5-449.3Yes494280No706*
7319-4-639.7Yes4049111No1,127*
7219-5-536.5Yes3749141No1,850*
7119-6-428.699.9%29502020No2,825*
7018-5-621.099.921502630No4,554*
6918-6-514.799.715473260No6,768*
6818-7-410.799.3114139910No10,175*
6717-6-66.498.3634441420No14,762*
6617-7-53.696.24264620400No21,006*
6516-6-71.992.02184428710No29,619*
6416-7-60.985.3112383412200No40,487*
6316-8-50.474.9073038205100No54,405*
6215-7-70.161.30321372710200No71,286*
6115-8-60.045.50113323317510No91,598*
6015-9-50.029.800623342510200No116,499*
5914-8-70.016.6003142931175100No145,377*
5814-9-6No7.6017213126123000No176,333*
5714-10-5No2.7002112530208200No212,055*
5613-9-7No0.80015162828165100No249,305*
5513-10-6No0.20028203025123100No288,130*
5412-9-8No0.00031124292292000No325,006*
5312-10-7No0.000141426291871000No361,527*
5212-11-6No0.00001617282715510000.0%392,046*
5111-10-8NoNo000282029251230000.0420,437*
5011-11-7NoNo000210233022920000.0439,785*
4911-12-6NoNo00141326301971000.1453,171*
4810-11-8NoNo00151729281541000.7458,225*
4710-12-7NoNo00028213125113002.8454,223*
4610-13-6NoNo00031125312171008.5439,770*
459-12-8NoNo00151630291540019.3419,768*
449-13-7NoNo0002822332591035.2390,755*
439-14-6NoNo0003142932174053.5357,942*
428-13-8NoNo00172235269170.5319,749*
418-14-7NoNo00314313416283.3280,263*
408-15-6NoNo0017243824591.7240,331*
397-14-8NoNo0031737331096.3201,124*
387-15-7NoNo0011032401698.5165,585*
377-16-6NoNo00625442499.5132,787*
366-15-8NoNo00318453399.8104,008*
356-16-7NoNo00112434499.979,678*
346-17-6NoNo0183853100.059,333*
335-16-8NoNo0053263100.043,573*
325-17-7NoNo032671Yes30,596*
315-18-6NoNo012078Yes21,118*
304-17-8NoNo011585Yes14,482*
294-18-7NoNo01189Yes9,336*
284-19-6NoNo0892Yes5,835*
273-18-8NoNo0694Yes3,613*
263-19-7NoNo397Yes2,119*
253-20-6NoNo397Yes1,180*
243-21-5NoNo199Yes702*
10-23NoNo100Yes1,677*
Total:0.1%4.1%0112334556677888876424.6%8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship