"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.2
+6.0
-0.5
Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.4
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 +0.5
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 +0.4
Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 +0.5
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 +0.3
Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.3
Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 +0.3
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.3
Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 +0.3
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 *-0.1
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/24100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Avai-0.1-0.0+0.1
+4.1+0.9-8.1
-0.3-0.1+0.7
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.4-0.1+0.7
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense+0.4-0.2-0.3
Bahia vs Flamengo+0.4-0.1-0.3
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba+0.4*-0.1-0.3
Atletico-PR vs Vitoria*-0.0-0.3+0.3
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG-0.2-0.2+0.4
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO-0.1-0.2+0.3
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras*-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Avai finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
75-92YesYes100No1,015*
7322-5-260.0%Yes6040No5*
7221-4-4YesYes100No2
7120-3-622.2Yes226711No9*
7020-4-533.3Yes334225No12*
6920-5-428.2Yes285615No39*
6819-4-618.8Yes1931428No48*
6719-5-510.198.3%103941811No119*
6619-6-410.997.5113342122No202*
6518-5-62.194.2223462351No329*
6418-6-52.488.321638321020No581*
6318-7-40.681.211033381530No952*
6217-6-60.270.705263922710No1,582*
6117-7-50.152.3021633321330No2,444*
6017-8-4No37.2010273421620No3,685*
5916-7-6No21.804173228144000No5,728*
5816-8-5No10.70192433229200No8,677*
5715-7-7No4.3004152830176100No12,467*
5615-8-6No1.101719302613310No17,938*
5515-9-5No0.2021023302210200No25,384*
5414-8-7No0.00014132629197200No34,871*
5314-9-6No0.000151527281761000No47,218*
5214-10-5NoNo0017182826144100No63,182*
5113-9-7NoNo000282029241230000.0%82,061*
5013-10-6NoNo00310232922102000.0105,551*
4913-11-5NoNo00141225292082000.2132,171*
4812-10-7NoNo00151527281761001.1163,406*
4712-11-6NoNo0017182927144104.3198,677*
4611-10-8NoNo000292231241020012.2235,012*
4511-11-7NoNo00031326311961026.4275,624*
4411-12-6NoNo0016183129133045.1315,456*
4310-11-8NoNo000292433237163.8353,140*
4210-12-7NoNo001416313114279.3391,172*
4110-13-6NoNo0029253623589.6420,751*
409-12-8NoNo00041736321095.3445,928*
399-13-7NoNo0021031401798.2463,006*
389-14-6NoNo01624442599.4471,224*
378-13-8NoNo00317443699.8469,399*
368-14-7NoNo00111424699.9458,877*
358-15-6NoNo0073656100.0438,136*
347-14-8NoNo0043066100.0409,769*
337-15-7NoNo0022474100.0374,902*
327-16-6NoNo011881Yes335,198*
316-15-8NoNo001386Yes292,475*
306-16-7NoNo00990Yes250,325*
296-17-6NoNo00793Yes208,681*
285-16-8NoNo0595Yes169,322*
275-17-7NoNo0397Yes133,370*
265-18-6NoNo0298Yes103,388*
254-17-8NoNo0199Yes77,817*
244-18-7NoNo199Yes55,905*
234-19-6NoNo0100Yes39,644*
223-18-8NoNo0100Yes27,239*
213-19-7NoNo0100Yes18,072*
203-20-6NoNo0100Yes11,360*
193-21-5NoNo0100Yes7,045*
16-18NoNo100Yes7,743*
151-21-7NoNo0100Yes652*
5-14NoNo100Yes1,573*
Total:0.0%0.1%0000000011122346813203778.4%8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship