How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 1 Corinthians 0 +0.3
Sao Paulo 0 Santos 1 +0.1
-0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-PR vs Chapecoense+0.0NoNo
+8.4-3.8-7.5
-1.2*+0.0+1.5
+1.1-0.3-1.1
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro+0.9+0.1-1.4
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.7+1.2*+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo+0.1+0.7-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Bahia*-0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Avai vs Gremio+0.2*+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Vitoria vs Atletico-GO+0.2-0.1-0.2
Sport Recife vs Coritiba+0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR vs Corinthians+0.0NoNo
+11.1-2.0-5.6
-1.2-0.2+0.9
+1.2-0.1-0.7
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-PRNoNo+0.0
-7.2-2.6+11.6
+1.0-0.2-1.2
-0.8-0.2+1.2
Gremio vs Flamengo+1.2+0.3-1.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Vasco da Gama+1.0+0.3-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria-1.3+0.7+1.4
-0.2-0.0+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sport Recife vs Botafogo+1.2+0.4-1.0
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.9+0.6+0.9
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Atletico-MG+0.6+0.2-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.7+0.5+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.7+0.7+0.3
Avai vs Bahia+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Ponte Preta-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Chapecoense vs Sport Recife-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Coritiba-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Gremio+0.2*+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Sao Paulo+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Palmeiras+0.3-0.0-0.2
Coritiba vs Avai*+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
658-0-01.3%Yes114413580No3,868
637-1-00.0Yes0117443340No14,173
627-0-1No100.0%0836441210No23,785
616-2-0No99.90221502330No34,051
606-1-1No99.2011042371010No114,262
596-0-2No96.604274422300No95,797
5-3-0No96.10326442340No46,430
585-2-1No89.00114393510100No234,819
575-1-2No74.3005274222300No390,931
4-4-0No69.604244225500No40,118
564-3-1No48.90112363713100No266,628
5-0-3No52.10113383611100No217,982
554-2-2No29.2005244224500No665,030
3-5-0No23.503204227610No21,915
544-1-3No12.80112363613200No736,990
3-4-1No9.5019333817300No181,055
533-3-2No3.10032039298100No602,038
4-0-4No3.90042340267100No305,619
2-6-0No2.002174031910No7,504
523-2-3No0.70193137184000No997,104
2-5-1No0.4006283922500No73,316
513-1-4No0.100317363112200No822,903
2-4-2No0.00213333415300No304,677
1-7-0No0.1011233351630No1,360
502-3-3No0.00052137279100No670,900
3-0-5No0.00172537247100No271,492
1-6-1NoNo041936291010No16,620
492-2-4No0.0001928362051000.0%830,012
1-5-2NoNo01725372461000.082,178
0-8-0NoNo51749236No117
482-1-5NoNo002143233153000.0544,786
1-4-3NoNo011029351940000.0224,258
0-7-1NoNo0183036195000.11,549
471-3-4NoNo003153331143000.3370,069
2-0-6NoNo005193528112000.2149,701
0-6-2NoNo0214333215300.39,119
461-2-5NoNo005203427112002.1364,665
0-5-3NoNo00417343013202.530,163
451-1-6NoNo00172434248109.3199,135
0-4-4NoNo006203428102011.862,179
440-3-5NoNo00182535247131.181,027
1-0-7NoNo02112834205024.946,291
430-2-6NoNo02122936183056.865,948
420-1-7NoNo00317363310079.130,779
410-0-8NoNo017284321192.57,617
Total:0.0%14.1%00002481215151311853210001.4%10,260,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship