Clube Atletico Mineiro Title ChancesTied Fluminense 1-1, title odds up 0.4 to 5.6% 19 points 5-4-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.9 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | -0.7 | | -1.8 | | | | -0.2 | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.5 | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.8 | | +0.1 | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.6 | | | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | -1.9-0.8+2.4 | | -7.9-2.1+9.2 | | +0.6+0.1-0.7 | | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +0.2+0.5-0.5 | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.6+0.4+0.6 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.7+0.4+0.8 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3+0.4-0.5 | | | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.5+0.4+0.4 | | | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.6+0.3-0.5 | | | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Atletico-MG finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | -100 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,202 | * | 85 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.7 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 315 | * | 84 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 559 | * | 83 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 98.6 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 926 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 97.0 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,559 | * | 81 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 96.4 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,724 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 95.0 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,125 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 92.6 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,632 | * | 78 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 89.3 | | Yes | 89 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,103 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 85.9 | | Yes | 86 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,840 | * | 76 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 80.4 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,462 | * | 75 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 75.0 | | Yes | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,612 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 68.1 | | Yes | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,143 | * | 73 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 60.2 | | Yes | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,470 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 51.6 | | Yes | 52 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 74,473 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 42.4 | | Yes | 42 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 95,913 | * | 70 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 33.6 | | Yes | 34 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,694 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 24.8 | | Yes | 25 | 47 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 149,980 | * | 68 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 17.4 | | 100.0 | % | 17 | 43 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 181,717 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 11.2 | | 100.0 | | 11 | 38 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 215,009 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 6.6 | | 100.0 | | 7 | 30 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 248,490 | * | 65 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 3.5 | | 99.9 | | 3 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 283,849 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 1.5 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 314,535 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.6 | | 99.1 | | 1 | 7 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 343,331 | * | 62 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 97.2 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 366,410 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 92.7 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 383,929 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 83.5 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 393,788 | * | 59 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 68.8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 396,096 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 49.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 390,382 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | 30.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 375,947 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 14.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 356,077 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 5.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 327,914 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 1.5 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 297,721 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 263,466 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 229,885 | * | 51 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 194,832 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 160,927 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 130,968 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.1 | | 104,914 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 3.9 | | 81,259 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10.6 | | 61,278 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22.9 | | 45,625 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 39.6 | | 32,751 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 57.7 | | 23,123 | * | 42 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 73.7 | | 15,804 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 85.5 | | 10,487 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 24 | 41 | 24 | 4 | 92.9 | | 6,706 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 97.3 | | 4,373 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 37 | 40 | 12 | 98.9 | | 2,634 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 30 | 45 | 20 | 99.7 | | 1,470 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 28 | 99.9 | | 872 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 49 | 35 | Yes | 506 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 52 | 38 | Yes | 207 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 30 | 62 | Yes | 164 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 36 | 60 | Yes | 75 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 40 | 57 | Yes | 30 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | Yes | 15 | * | 19 | -29 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 862 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.6 | % | 56.9 | % | 6 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |