How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 1 Corinthians 0 +0.2
Sao Paulo 0 Santos 1 +0.1
-0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo+0.0-0.0No
+10.9-3.2-7.5
-1.0-0.1+1.0
+1.1-0.2-0.8
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro+0.9+0.1-1.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.8+1.3*+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Chapecoense-0.5+0.6+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Avai vs Gremio+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Bahia*-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sport Recife vs Coritiba+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Atletico-GO+0.2-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Atletico-MGNoNo+0.0
-5.6-1.9+11.5
+0.7-0.2-1.0
-0.6-0.1+1.2
Atletico-PR vs Corinthians-1.1+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO+0.0-0.0No
+6.5-4.9-7.9
-1.0+0.2+1.6
+0.8-0.5-1.1
Gremio vs Flamengo+1.3+0.3-1.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Vasco da Gama+1.0+0.3-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria-1.3+0.8+1.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sport Recife vs Botafogo+1.3+0.4-1.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-1.0+0.6+1.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.9+0.7+0.4
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-PR-0.5+0.7+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Sport Recife-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Avai vs Bahia+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Gremio+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.1
Bahia vs Ponte Preta-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Coritiba-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Sao Paulo-0.1-0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Palmeiras+0.3*-0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs Avai+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-MG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
658-0-01.3%Yes117433360No3,916
637-1-00.0Yes0219462850No14,429
627-0-1No100.0%0837411310No24,460
616-2-0No99.80223452540No34,921
606-1-1No99.0011139381110No117,182
596-0-2No95.904254323400No98,788
5-3-0No95.003234326500No47,749
585-2-1No87.4011238361210No241,425
575-1-2No72.4005254224400No403,939
4-4-0No66.803224227500No41,131
564-3-1No46.30111353913200No274,041
5-0-3No51.30113373611100No224,062
554-2-2No27.8004244225500No684,290
3-5-0No21.802194329600No22,582
544-1-3No12.20111363613200No755,614
3-4-1No8.8018333917300No186,104
533-3-2No2.90031940298100No613,391
4-0-4No3.90042341267100No310,648
2-6-0No1.70218393191No7,516
523-2-3No0.70193137184000No1,007,933
2-5-1No0.4006273922500No74,773
513-1-4No0.100317363111200No825,792
2-4-2No0.00213343415300No307,866
1-7-0NoNo21332351630No1,453
502-3-3No0.00052137279100No669,622
3-0-5No0.00172537246100No269,544
1-6-1NoNo0419372910100No16,835
492-2-4No0.0001928362050000.0%818,720
1-5-2NoNo017253723610No81,321
0-8-0NoNo1916412311No114
482-1-5NoNo0031432331530000.0527,927
1-4-3NoNo0021130351840000.0221,270
0-7-1NoNo21029371741No1,578
471-3-4NoNo0031634311330000.3356,976
2-0-6NoNo005203527102000.1142,646
0-6-2NoNo02143333153000.38,868
461-2-5NoNo0015213527102001.7344,462
0-5-3NoNo00417352912202.628,550
451-1-6NoNo01825352271007.9183,050
0-4-4NoNo01622352691010.957,911
440-3-5NoNo001926352261028.374,355
1-0-7NoNo002133033174021.641,533
430-2-6NoNo003133134163052.758,735
420-1-7NoNo0052036309075.126,615
410-0-8NoNo018293921290.26,323
Total:0.0%14.1%00002481215151311853210001.1%10,260,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship