Club Athletico Paranaense Title Chances 50/50Lost to Sao Paulo 1-2, title odds down 1.1 to 3.6% 16 points 5-1-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 | -1.7 | | -7.4 | | +2.9 | | -0.9 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.4 | | | | +0.2 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | *-0.1 | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.4 | | +0.2 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | -0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | +1.7-0.6-1.3 | | +8.3-2.4-6.8 | | -4.6+0.8+4.1 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | *+0.1+0.3-0.3 | | +0.3*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | *+0.0+0.2-0.2 | | -0.3+0.3*+0.1 | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.5+0.2+0.3 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.4*+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.1+0.2 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | *+0.0+0.3-0.3 | | | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.3+0.3-0.5 | | +0.3-0.2-0.1 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.3+0.2*+0.1 | | | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | -97 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 449 | * | 79 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.1 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 237 | * | 77 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 393 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 96.4 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 613 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 95.9 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 949 | * | 74 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 94.8 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,530 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 92.0 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,333 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 88.2 | | Yes | 88 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,685 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 84.0 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,293 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 77.6 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,496 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 70.7 | | Yes | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,467 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 60.9 | | Yes | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,488 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 50.8 | | Yes | 51 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,411 | * | 66 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 40.8 | | Yes | 41 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,621 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 29.4 | | Yes | 29 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,760 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 20.0 | | 100.0 | % | 20 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,244 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 11.6 | | 100.0 | | 12 | 34 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,893 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 6.0 | | 99.9 | | 6 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,831 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 2.6 | | 99.3 | | 3 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73,057 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.9 | | 97.6 | | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,602 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 92.5 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,840 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 81.1 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,945 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 61.8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 118,265 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 37.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 126,389 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 16.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 133,001 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 4.9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 137,334 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.9 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 138,412 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 136,548 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 132,140 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 125,635 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.8 | | 115,944 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.9 | | 105,733 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12.8 | | 94,090 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29.3 | | 81,633 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 50.2 | | 69,796 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 70.0 | | 58,395 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 85.0 | | 47,232 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 93.1 | | 37,445 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 97.6 | | 29,019 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 25 | 99.1 | | 21,961 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 34 | 99.8 | | 16,095 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 47 | 99.9 | | 11,467 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 58 | 100.0 | | 8,002 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | 100.0 | | 5,512 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | Yes | 3,609 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 83 | Yes | 2,245 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 87 | Yes | 1,532 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 901 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 489 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 259 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 155 | * | 16 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 433 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.6 | % | 31.7 | % | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12.2 | % | 2,401,920 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |