Club Athletico Paranaense Title ChancesLost to Sao Paulo 1-2, title odds down 0.7 to 1.5% 16 points 5-1-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 | -0.8 | | -7.5 | | +0.9 | | -0.7 | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | +0.4 | | -0.3 | | +0.1 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.5 | | | | | | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | +0.1 | | +0.8 | | +0.1 | | | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | +0.6 | | | | +0.1 | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | +0.7-0.4-0.7 | | +7.1-3.0-7.3 | | -2.3+0.6+2.6 | | +0.9-0.3-0.9 | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | | | -0.5+0.4+0.5 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | | | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | | | | | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.6+0.3+0.7 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.5+0.2-0.4 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | +0.2+0.4-0.4 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | America-MG vs Internacional | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | -97 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 903 | * | 83 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 98.5 | % | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66 | * | 82 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 82 | * | 81 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.9 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 190 | * | 80 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.4 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 367 | * | 79 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 93.1 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 625 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 91.4 | | Yes | 91 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,045 | * | 77 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 86.2 | | Yes | 86 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,763 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 83.5 | | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,775 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 79.8 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,445 | * | 74 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 71.6 | | Yes | 72 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,690 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 63.7 | | Yes | 64 | 32 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,238 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 54.9 | | Yes | 55 | 38 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,138 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 46.4 | | Yes | 46 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,778 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 37.2 | | Yes | 37 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,338 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 28.2 | | Yes | 28 | 46 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,696 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 20.0 | | Yes | 20 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,414 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 13.0 | | 100.0 | % | 13 | 39 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 74,103 | * | 66 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 8.0 | | 100.0 | | 8 | 32 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 95,314 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 4.3 | | 99.9 | | 4 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,081 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 2.0 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 148,398 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.8 | | 99.2 | | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 179,131 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.3 | | 97.6 | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 213,422 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 93.5 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 247,232 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 85.3 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 281,678 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 71.5 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 312,898 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 53.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 340,288 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 33.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 366,408 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 17.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 383,281 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 6.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 394,613 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 2.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 396,016 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 391,291 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 378,117 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 358,695 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 332,010 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 300,030 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.5 | | 266,074 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 2.3 | | 232,073 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | | 196,296 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16.0 | | 162,360 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30.4 | | 131,964 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 48.1 | | 104,405 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 65.9 | | 80,899 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 80.0 | | 61,325 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 89.5 | | 44,744 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 5 | 95.4 | | 32,330 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 98.0 | | 22,485 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 44 | 16 | 99.4 | | 15,324 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 47 | 24 | 99.8 | | 9,972 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 34 | 99.9 | | 6,252 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 44 | 43 | Yes | 3,886 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 39 | 53 | Yes | 2,380 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 33 | 63 | Yes | 1,405 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 26 | 71 | Yes | 793 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 21 | 77 | Yes | 413 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 19 | 80 | Yes | 183 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | Yes | 105 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 44 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 84 | Yes | 19 | * | 16 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 870 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.5 | % | 30.8 | % | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5.4 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |