America Futebol Clube-MG Title ChancesBeat Gremio 1-0, title odds up 0.04 to 0.06% 11 points 3-2-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Gremio 0 America-MG 1 | | | +1.0 | | -10.2 | | +0.8 | | Coritiba 1 Internacional 0 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0 | | | | | +1.4 | | -0.1 | | Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0 | | | | | +0.7 | | -0.1 | | Santos 0 Corinthians 2 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | Vasco 0 Goias 1 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | America-MG vs Internacional | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | +2.0-0.6-1.5 | | -9.1+1.9+7.4 | | +0.9-0.2-0.7 | | Gremio vs Coritiba | | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | -0.3-0.2+0.7 | | | | Fluminense vs Bahia | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.5-0.1+0.9 | | | | Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.5-0.2-0.3 | | | | Vasco vs Cuiaba | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3-0.3*-0.0 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Corinthians | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.4-0.2+0.7 | | | | Fortaleza vs Atletico-MG | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Palmeiras vs Botafogo | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | | | | Bragantino vs Goias | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.3-0.4+0.6 | | | | Santos vs Flamengo | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +1.0*-0.1-0.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the America-MG finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 79 | -92 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 856 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 83.3 | % | Yes | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 85.7 | | Yes | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 78.3 | | Yes | 78 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 87.5 | | Yes | 88 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 78.1 | | Yes | 78 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 75.0 | | Yes | 75 | 21 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 128 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 62.9 | | Yes | 63 | 34 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 202 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 50.5 | | Yes | 51 | 42 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 378 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 42.3 | | Yes | 42 | 46 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 666 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 32.2 | | Yes | 32 | 45 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,003 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 23.5 | | Yes | 24 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,734 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 16.8 | | Yes | 17 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,640 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 10.4 | | Yes | 10 | 35 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,181 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 5.6 | | 100.0 | % | 6 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,531 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 2.5 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,651 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 1.0 | | 99.3 | | 1 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,059 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.4 | | 97.8 | | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,226 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | 93.8 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,384 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 85.7 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,396 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 71.2 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 53,203 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 52.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 69,810 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | 32.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 90,482 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 15.6 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 114,682 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 5.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 142,313 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 1.7 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 173,385 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 205,119 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 240,734 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 275,858 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 308,778 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 340,494 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 366,055 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.2 | | 386,183 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 8.9 | | 398,622 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19.3 | | 402,834 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 34.8 | | 398,819 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 52.3 | | 386,727 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 69.1 | | 367,433 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 82.3 | | 340,297 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 90.9 | | 309,972 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 96.0 | | 274,578 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 10 | 98.4 | | 237,009 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 44 | 16 | 99.4 | | 200,359 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 47 | 24 | 99.8 | | 165,468 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 33 | 99.9 | | 133,130 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 100.0 | | 104,720 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 52 | 100.0 | | 79,688 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 34 | 61 | Yes | 59,216 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 70 | Yes | 42,642 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 76 | Yes | 30,229 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | Yes | 20,417 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 13,584 | * | 27 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 8,446 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 5,293 | * | 25 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 2,960 | * | 24 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 1,729 | * | 23 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 928 | * | 22 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 488 | * | 21 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 267 | * | 20 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 99 | * | 11 | -19 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 942 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 3.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 38.5 | % | 6,884,160 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |