How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs 2 Islanders 3 +2.8
+0.2
Flyers 4 Lightning 3 -1.6
Senators 3 Red Wings 1 -0.1
Rangers 3 Blue Jackets 2 -0.1
Kings 2 Penguins 3 -0.1
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wild vs Rangers+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1
Penguins vs Capitals+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 3/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flames vs Islanders-3.1-1.0+3.2+3.2
-0.2-0.0+0.2+0.2
Bruins vs Hurricanes+0.2*+0.0-0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Hurricanes vs Sharks-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1
Red Wings vs Senators+0.1-0.2-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
100140-099.9%110303719401,613
99130-198.9021330361812,377
98131-096.615234028311,703*
97121-188.700110344411026,346*
96122-081.3005265019041,799
111-273.8003195226031,790*
95112-162.1011150380131,479*
94113-052.000745480127,307
102-243.60439560138,214*
93103-132.702316610297,559
92-328.80127701093,826*
9293-218.800187830315,790
104-024.101237320263,190
82-417.40017794043,837*
9194-112.2001282600560,202
83-310.301082700214,739*
9084-25.506821300533,748
95-07.808811100397,021
73-45.00579151088,736*
8985-13.003752110756,767
74-32.3027224200325,192*
8875-21.016333400636,864
86-01.5026530300446,631
64-40.815636600115,503*
8776-10.4004942910753,495
65-30.3044431210341,670*
8666-20.1031471920554,268
77-00.1034471620383,058
55-40.1025462450102,955*
8567-10.0019452960561,522
56-30.0015423391253,337*
8457-20.00935391520353,374
68-00.00103738132249,145
46-40.006284122463,016*
8358-10.00423422650312,647
47-3Out219403180133,891*
8248-2Out1113639130163,403
59-0Out1123638130150,113*
8149-1Out052644240128,209
38-3Out03224530048,553*
8039-2Out01144341053,413
410-0Out02164339052,894*
79310-1Out0073557049,496*
78311-0Out0032670125,194*
77211-1Out01158139,254*
76212-0Out098564,040*
75112-1Out485101,009*
74113-0Out28315364*
73013-1Out802054
72014-0Out0633520873
Total:7.4%0000174924126200010,351,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs