How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flyers 4 Lightning 3 -0.4
Maple Leafs 2 Islanders 3 -0.1
-0.0
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 +0.1
Canadiens 5 Panthers 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Penguins vs Capitals-0.4-0.2+0.3+0.4
-0.3-0.1+0.3+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 3/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes vs Sharks-0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flames vs Islanders+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0
Bruins vs Hurricanes+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Capitals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
96140-085.1%17334415510
95130-165.011449350625
94131-050.407434813,309*
93121-133.602316337,644*
92122-020.70120709021,318*
91112-111.3001170171038,964*
90102-24.90562303037,872
113-05.60665273040,860*
89103-12.102504080089,748
92-31.82474290029,439*
8893-20.613348171098,891
104-00.713747141079,112
82-40.613149182014,295*
8794-10.2020482740175,206
83-30.201847295069,687*
8684-20.0093940111173,067
95-00.0012423781124,164
73-40.008384012129,849*
8585-10.00429451920245,419
74-30.0032645233111,347*
8475-20.0011643337216,374
86-00.0021946285145,502
64-40.001144235841,359*
8376-1Out083741130256,026
65-3Out073344160121,417*
8266-2Out032447260196,128
77-0Out042946200129,361
55-4Out03224729038,545*
8167-1Out011646370199,047
56-3Out01134442094,534*
8057-2Out0738540131,743
68-0Out0104247088,285
46-4Out063657025,083*
7958-1Out00431641116,192
47-3Out0327691052,777*
7848-2Out0120763064,276
59-0Out0224723045,470
37-4Out0117793010,948*
7749-1Out0113816050,755
38-3Out011836020,150*
7639-2Out068310022,162
410-0Out088210021,300*
75310-1Out037917020,981*
74210-2Out272261010,888*
73211-1Out16037204,034*
72212-0Out04548601,802*
71112-1Out3648151502*
70113-0Out1661203171*
69013-1Out457261323
68014-0Out6384412299
Total:0.6%00019182525211003,517,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs