"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 2013-2014
Lost to Avalanche 4-5 (so), playoff odds down 0.6 to 96.6%
80 points 35 22-10
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ducks 3 Oilers 4 (so) | -0.3 | |||
| Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 | -0.3 | |||
| Kings 2 Penguins 3 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Avalanche 5 Canucks 4 (so) | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Oilers vs Blackhawks | -0.1-0.4-0.2+0.2 | |||
| Predators vs Kings | -0.1-0.3*+0.0+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Blues vs Bruins | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2 | |||
| Wild vs Rangers | -0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Stars vs Jets | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Coyotes vs Sabres | -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 3/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lightning vs Canucks | -2.0*-0.0+1.6+1.6 | -0.5-0.1+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Blackhawks vs Wild | -0.1-0.3*-0.0+0.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Flames vs Islanders | -0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.2 | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Hurricanes vs Sharks | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Canucks finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | ||||
| 110 | 15 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 28 | 71 | 1 | 1,344 | |||||||||||||||||
| 109 | 14 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 19 | 79 | 2 | 1,530 | |||||||||||||||||
| 108 | 14 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 11 | 85 | 5 | 0 | 7,646 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 107 | 13 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 7 | 85 | 9 | 0 | 18,040 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 106 | 13 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 81 | 16 | 0 | 52,031 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 105 | 12 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 72 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 95,600 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 104 | 11 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 60 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 96,225 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 61 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 101,564 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 103 | 11 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 47 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 226,397 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 46 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 76,978 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 102 | 10 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 32 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258,800 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 32 | 50 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 239,510 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 101 | 10 | 4 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 20 | 49 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 456,698 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 19 | 48 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 190,548 | * | |||||||||||||
| 100 | 9 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 470,332 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 322,393 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 85,424 | * | |||||||||||||
| 99 | 9 | 5 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 4 | 28 | 43 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 666,782 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 4 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 315,967 | * | ||||||||||||
| 98 | 8 | 5 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 616,786 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 16 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 400,329 | * | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 117,989 | ||||||||||||
| 97 | 8 | 6 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 728,898 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 371,053 | * | ||||||||||||
| 96 | 7 | 6 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 594,983 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 368,443 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 126,891 | * | ||||||||||||
| 95 | 7 | 7 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 603,373 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 3 | 99.8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 313,627 | * | |||||||||||
| 94 | 6 | 7 | - | 2 | 99.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 429,668 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 8 | - | 0 | 99.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 267,888 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 6 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 91,742 | * | ||||||||||||
| 93 | 6 | 8 | - | 1 | 97.3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 381,256 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 7 | - | 3 | 95.8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 193,404 | * | ||||||||||||
| 92 | 5 | 8 | - | 2 | 89.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 233,393 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 9 | - | 0 | 90.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 198,318 | * | |||||||||||
| 91 | 5 | 9 | - | 1 | 77.7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183,621 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 8 | - | 3 | 71.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 85,790 | * | |||||||||||
| 90 | 4 | 9 | - | 2 | 54.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 93,202 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 10 | - | 0 | 58.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 81,082 | * | |||||||||||
| 89 | 4 | 10 | - | 1 | 32.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 93,208 | * | ||||||||||
| 88 | 3 | 10 | - | 2 | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 52,207 | * | ||||||||||
| 87 | 3 | 11 | - | 1 | 5.2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23,077 | * | |||||||||||
| 86 | 2 | 11 | - | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 10,766 | * | |||||||||||
| 85 | 2 | 12 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 3,790 | * | ||||||||||||
| 84 | 2 | 13 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 1,487 | * | ||||||||||||
| 83 | 1 | 13 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 21 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 402 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 82 | 1 | 14 | - | 0 | Out | 3 | 14 | 28 | 40 | 15 | 119 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 81 | 0 | 14 | - | 1 | Out | 6 | 22 | 50 | 22 | 18 | ||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 13 | 46 | 40 | 861 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 96.6 | % | 0 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,351,480 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
